U.S.-Iran ConflictDiplomatic BreakthroughJun 13, 2026, 8:07 AM· 5 min read· #5 of 5 in news politics

Trump Cancels Strikes, Claims U.S. and Iran Are on the Cusp of a Peace Deal

President Trump has halted planned military strikes against Iran, announcing that a ceasefire agreement to end the three-month war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz is imminent.

By Factlen Editorial Team

U.S. Administration 35%Iranian Leadership 25%Global Mediators & Analysts 25%Israeli Defense Establishment 15%
U.S. Administration
Seeking a diplomatic victory and economic stabilization ahead of midterms while maintaining a hardline stance on nuclear deterrence.
Iranian Leadership
Looking for sanctions relief and economic survival while preserving domestic strength and regional influence.
Global Mediators & Analysts
Focused on de-escalating the conflict to stabilize global energy markets and prevent a broader regional war.
Israeli Defense Establishment
Demanding absolute guarantees that Iran's nuclear program is dismantled and its proxy networks are neutralized.

What's not represented

  • · U.S. Congressional Democrats
  • · Iranian Civilians
  • · European Energy Importers

Why this matters

A peace agreement would end a three-month conflict that has choked off 20% of the world's oil supply and driven up global inflation. For the U.S., stabilizing energy markets is a critical domestic priority ahead of the November midterm elections.

Key points

  • President Trump canceled planned military strikes, citing an imminent peace deal with Iran.
  • The proposed framework includes a 60-day ceasefire and the immediate reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.
  • Iran would reportedly receive access to $24 billion in frozen assets in exchange for nuclear concessions.
  • Iranian state media leaked draft terms, which Trump publicly dismissed as 'false information.'
  • Mediators from Pakistan, Qatar, and Turkey are working to finalize the memorandum of understanding.
$24 billion
Frozen Iranian assets potentially released
60 days
Proposed ceasefire extension for nuclear talks
$100/bbl
Global oil price driven by the conflict
$4.02/gal
U.S. national average gasoline price

President Donald Trump has abruptly canceled a planned wave of military strikes against Iran, announcing that a comprehensive agreement to end the three-month-old war is imminent. The sudden diplomatic breakthrough marks a sharp pivot from days of escalating rhetoric, during which the United States threatened to systematically dismantle Iranian infrastructure. Instead, the administration is now signaling that a memorandum of understanding has been reached 'both in concept and great detail,' potentially bringing a halt to a conflict that has rattled global markets, disrupted international shipping, and reshaped Middle Eastern geopolitics.[1][2]

The immediate catalyst for the de-escalation appears to be a flurry of back-channel negotiations brokered by Pakistan, Qatar, and Turkey. Just hours before American bombers were scheduled to strike vital targets—including Iran's critical Kharg Island oil facility—mediators reported significant progress in securing Iranian concessions. Trump, who had publicly warned of 'very hard' strikes, reversed course, telling reporters in the Oval Office that the Iranian leadership had taken a 'pounding' and was finally ready to make a deal to end the hostilities.[2][4]

The emerging framework centers on a 60-day ceasefire extension designed to facilitate broader negotiations. According to diplomatic sources, the cornerstone of the immediate agreement requires Iran to safely reopen the Strait of Hormuz to international shipping without imposing tolls. In exchange, the United States would initiate a phased, performance-based unfreezing of Iranian financial assets and a gradual lifting of sanctions on petrochemical products. This two-month window would serve as a cooling-off period while diplomats tackle the far more complex issue of Iran's nuclear enrichment program.[3][4]

The economic pressures driving both sides toward a diplomatic off-ramp.
The economic pressures driving both sides toward a diplomatic off-ramp.

For the White House, the push for a diplomatic off-ramp is heavily influenced by domestic economic pressures. Since the war began in late February, the closure of the Strait of Hormuz—a maritime chokepoint that typically handles 20 percent of the world's crude oil—has sent energy markets into a tailspin. Global benchmark Brent crude has surged past $100 a barrel, driving the U.S. national average for gasoline above $4 a gallon. With the November midterm elections approaching, the administration faces mounting pressure to stabilize inflation and avoid a prolonged, unpopular overseas entanglement.[6][7]

The Iranian regime, meanwhile, is navigating its own existential crisis. While Tehran can claim a measure of victory simply by surviving the initial U.S. and Israeli military onslaught, the country's economy has been pushed to the brink of collapse by the blockade and relentless bombardments. Securing access to frozen capital and resuming oil exports are critical for the government's survival. However, Iranian officials must balance these economic imperatives against the optics of capitulating to American demands, leading to a complex domestic messaging strategy.[1][7]

The Iranian regime, meanwhile, is navigating its own existential crisis.

This tension erupted into public view when Iranian state media, including the semi-official Mehr News Agency, leaked what it claimed was a 14-point draft of the agreement. The Iranian broadcast asserted that the United States had agreed to release $24 billion in frozen assets, with half of that amount delivered upfront before further nuclear talks commence. The leak also claimed that Washington had committed to withdrawing its combat forces from the immediate vicinity of Iran and ending its intervention in the country's internal affairs.[4][5]

Global oil prices surged following the outbreak of hostilities and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
Global oil prices surged following the outbreak of hostilities and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

President Trump immediately pushed back against the Iranian narrative, taking to his Truth Social platform to dismiss the leaked terms as 'false information.' The president accused Tehran of negotiating in bad faith, insisting that the actual written agreement bears no resemblance to the Mehr report. According to U.S. officials, the sanctions relief will be strictly performance-based, meaning Iran will not receive any financial windfall until the International Atomic Energy Agency verifies its compliance with the initial ceasefire terms and maritime commitments.[2][5]

The most formidable hurdle remains Iran's nuclear ambitions. The current memorandum of understanding does not definitively dismantle the country's nuclear infrastructure; rather, it establishes a 60-day framework to negotiate the disposal of Iran's highly enriched uranium stockpile. The United States is demanding that all nuclear materials be destroyed or removed from the country, a condition Tehran has historically resisted. Whether the two sides can bridge this gap without the leverage of active military strikes remains the central question of the ongoing peace process.[3][4]

Reopening the Strait of Hormuz to international shipping is a central pillar of the proposed ceasefire.
Reopening the Strait of Hormuz to international shipping is a central pillar of the proposed ceasefire.

The diplomatic maneuvering is being closely monitored in Israel, which partnered with the U.S. to launch the initial operations in February. Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz stated that Jerusalem expects the final agreement to permanently block Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon. Furthermore, the conflict's secondary fronts remain highly volatile. Fighting between Israeli forces and Iranian-backed Hezbollah militants in Lebanon has intensified, and it remains unclear whether the U.S.-Iran ceasefire will effectively silence the guns along Israel's northern border.[4][5]

Despite the public friction over the exact terms, momentum toward a formal signing ceremony is accelerating. Pakistani officials have stated that a 'final, agreed upon text' has been reached, and Trump has floated the possibility of dispatching Vice President JD Vance to Europe this weekend to formalize the accord. While Iranian diplomats caution that they have 'not reached a final conclusion,' the sheer economic and political exhaustion on both sides suggests that the off-ramp is finally within reach for the warring nations.[2][4]

How we got here

  1. Feb 28, 2026

    The U.S. and Israel launch joint military operations against Iran.

  2. March 2026

    Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz, sending global oil prices soaring.

  3. April 7, 2026

    A temporary two-week ceasefire is brokered but eventually breaks down.

  4. June 11, 2026

    President Trump cancels a new wave of strikes, announcing a deal is close.

  5. June 13, 2026

    Mediators report a final text has been reached, though public disagreements over terms remain.

Viewpoints in depth

U.S. Administration's view

Seeking a diplomatic victory and economic stabilization ahead of midterms while maintaining a hardline stance on nuclear deterrence.

For the White House, the war has reached a point of diminishing returns. While the administration touts the destruction of Iranian military assets as a historic victory, the resulting economic fallout—specifically $4-a-gallon gasoline and $100-a-barrel oil—poses a severe threat to Republican prospects in the November midterms. By securing an agreement that reopens the Strait of Hormuz, the administration hopes to stabilize global markets and claim a definitive foreign policy win. However, U.S. officials remain adamant that any sanctions relief will be strictly tied to verifiable rollbacks of Iran's nuclear program.

Iranian Leadership's view

Looking for sanctions relief and economic survival while preserving domestic strength and regional influence.

Tehran's primary objective is regime survival. The combination of intense military strikes and crippling economic sanctions has pushed the country to the brink. Reopening the Strait of Hormuz is a concession Iran is willing to make if it guarantees the unfreezing of billions of dollars in assets necessary to stabilize its domestic economy. To sell the deal to its hardline domestic base, Iranian state media has emphasized the financial windfall and framed the U.S. willingness to negotiate as a capitulation to Iranian resilience.

Israeli Defense Establishment's view

Demanding absolute guarantees that Iran's nuclear program is dismantled and its proxy networks are neutralized.

Israel views the ceasefire with cautious skepticism. Having partnered with the U.S. to initiate the conflict, Israeli defense officials are demanding that any final agreement permanently neutralizes Iran's ability to develop a nuclear weapon. Furthermore, Israel remains deeply concerned about the broader regional implications, particularly the ongoing threat posed by Iranian-backed Hezbollah forces in Lebanon. For Jerusalem, a deal that enriches Iran without dismantling its proxy networks is viewed as a strategic failure.

What we don't know

  • Whether Iran's Supreme Leader has officially signed off on the agreement.
  • The exact mechanisms for verifying the dismantling of Iran's nuclear enrichment program.
  • How Israel will respond if the final deal does not meet its security demands regarding Hezbollah in Lebanon.

Key terms

Strait of Hormuz
A vital maritime chokepoint between the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman, through which roughly 20% of the world's oil supply passes.
Memorandum of Understanding (MOU)
A formal agreement between two or more parties that establishes a framework for future negotiations, though often not legally binding.
Sanctions Relief
The removal or suspension of economic penalties, allowing a country to resume international trade and access frozen financial assets.
Highly Enriched Uranium
Uranium that has been processed to a concentration high enough to be used in nuclear weapons, a central focus of the U.S.-Iran negotiations.

Frequently asked

Is the war officially over?

Not yet. The current framework is a memorandum of understanding for a 60-day ceasefire, during which a permanent peace treaty will be negotiated.

Why did oil prices spike?

The conflict led to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical shipping lane that handles roughly 20% of the world's crude oil supply.

What happens to Iran's nuclear program?

The proposed deal creates a 60-day window for the U.S. and Iran to negotiate the disposal of Iran's highly enriched uranium and the dismantling of its nuclear infrastructure.

Will Iran receive $24 billion?

Iranian state media claims the funds will be released upfront, but U.S. officials insist any sanctions relief will be strictly performance-based.

Sources

Source coverage

7 outlets

4 viewpoints surfaced

U.S. Administration 35%Iranian Leadership 25%Global Mediators & Analysts 25%Israeli Defense Establishment 15%
  1. [1]Al JazeeraIranian Leadership

    Trump seeks 'off-ramp' from war in 'Iran deal'

    Read on Al Jazeera
  2. [2]PBSU.S. Administration

    Trump is raising expectations that this time he really will close deal with Iran to wind down war

    Read on PBS
  3. [3]AxiosU.S. Administration

    What's in the Iran deal Trump says he's ready to sign

    Read on Axios
  4. [4]CBS NewsGlobal Mediators & Analysts

    Live Updates: 'Final, agreed upon text' of U.S.-Iran peace deal has been reached, Pakistan says

    Read on CBS News
  5. [5]The Jerusalem PostIsraeli Defense Establishment

    Donald Trump claims Iran leaked false information on peace deal terms

    Read on The Jerusalem Post
  6. [6]Chatham HouseGlobal Mediators & Analysts

    Trump has an incentive to strike a deal with Iran, as midterms approach. But at what cost?

    Read on Chatham House
  7. [7]Arab Center Washington DCGlobal Mediators & Analysts

    The Iran War: Is Trump Looking for Exit Ramps or Escalation?

    Read on Arab Center Washington DC
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