Evidence Packs

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ExplainerCausal Inference

The Three Criteria a Variable Must Meet to Be a Confounder in Causal Inference

Classical Epidemiologists 35%Causal Inference Statisticians 35%Clinical Researchers 30%

7 sources · 8h ago

Explainer

How Local Randomization Near a Cutoff Isolates Causal Effects in Observational Data

9 sources · 1d ago

Explainer

How Bonferroni and False Discovery Rate Adjustments Prevent False Positives in Massive Datasets

6 sources · 2d ago

Explainer

Evidence Pack: How Accurately Commercial Wearables Measure Sleep Architecture Against Clinical Polysomnography

6 sources · 3d ago

More in Evidence Packs

Research BriefWorkplace Trends

The Evidence Behind the Four-Day Workweek: Productivity, Retention, and the Limits of the Data

Advocates of the 100-80-100 Model 40%Labor and Well-being Researchers 40%Skeptical Industry Leaders 20%

5 sources · 4d ago

ExplainerStatistical Methodology

The Mechanics of Meta-Analysis: How Systematic Reviews Aggregate Evidence and Determine the True Effect Size

Clinical Methodologists 40%Statistical Skeptics 30%Evidence-Based Practitioners 30%

6 sources · 5d ago

ExplainerStatistical Analysis

The Mechanics of Benford's Law: How the Mathematics of the First Digit Detects Fraud

Forensic Accountants 45%Data Scientists 35%Statistical Skeptics 20%

3 sources · 6d ago

ExplainerStatistical Mechanics

The Mechanics of Simpson's Paradox: How Aggregated Data Can Reverse True Trends

Causal Inference Advocates 40%Statistical Methodologists 35%Data Literacy Educators 25%

5 sources · 7d ago

ExplainerMacroeconomic Measurement

The Mechanics of GDP Calculation: How Three Different Formulas Measure the Same Economy

Expenditure-First Analysts 40%Income-Side Economists 35%Non-Observed Economy Researchers 25%

9 sources · 8d ago

ExplainerPrecision Oncology

How AI-Guided Biomarker Discovery is Rewriting the Odds of Cancer Survival

Computational Pathologists 40%Clinical Oncologists 35%Trial Designers 25%

5 sources · 9d ago

ExplainerAMOC Tipping Point

New Data Analysis Finds Atlantic Current Slowdown 60% Worse Than Forecast, Closer to Tipping Point

Observational Modellers 40%Paleoclimatologists 30%Impact Forecasters 30%

4 sources · 10d ago

ExplainerSovereign Debt

The Mechanics of a $353 Trillion Global Debt Burden: How Sovereign Borrowing Actually Works

Institutional Monitors 40%Encyclopedic Consensus 30%Analytical Synthesis 30%

4 sources · 12d ago

ExplainerPoverty Data

New MPI Data: 80% of World's Poor (887M People) Exposed to Concurrent Climate Hazards

Development Economists 40%Climate Adaptation Advocates 35%Public Health Officials 25%

3 sources · 13d ago

Research BriefNeurology Data

Massive Data Analysis of 100 Million People Links Recreational Drug Use to Doubled Stroke Risk in Young Adults

Epidemiological Researchers 40%Emergency Neurologists 35%Public Health Advocates 25%

2 sources · 14d ago

Research BriefClimate Modeling

Data Analysis Confirms World Passed First Climate Tipping Point, Amazon Threshold Now Estimated at 1.5°C

Earth System Scientists 40%Conservation Ecologists 35%Data Synthesis Analysts 25%

4 sources · 15d ago

UAP DataEvidence Pack

Declassified UAP Data Reveals 25 Cold Orbs Moving at Mach 1.7 in Formation Over Gulf of Oman

National Security Observers 40%Scientific Investigators 30%Transparency Advocates 30%

5 sources · 16d ago

Global GDP ForecastEvidence Pack

NBER Model Predicts U.S. Economic Hegemony Over China by 2100 Due to Demographics and AI

Demographic Determinists 40%Techno-Optimists 35%Immigration Advocates 25%

3 sources · 17d ago

Media ConsumptionEvidence Pack

Reuters Data Finds Social Media Now Leading Global News Source, Surpassing TV and News Websites

Media Researchers 40%Independent Creators 30%Legacy News Organizations 30%

6 sources · 18d ago

ExplainerPediatric Heat Risk

Evidence Pack: How Climate Change Increased Children's Extreme Heat Exposure Risk by 55%

Climate Attribution Researchers 40%Public Health Advocates 35%Generational Analysts 25%

7 sources · 20d ago

Research BriefAI Agents

How AI Agents Achieve 96% Accuracy in Econometric Coding Through Self-Correction

Empirical Researchers 40%AI Developers 35%Methodological Skeptics 25%

4 sources · 21d ago

ExplainerMacroeconomic Modeling

NBER Study Finds Even Optimistic AI Growth Scenarios Leave US Federal Debt Near 126% of GDP by 2056

Macroeconomic Modelers 40%Fiscal Policy Analysts 40%Techno-Optimists 20%

2 sources · 22d ago

Research BriefWorkforce Data

Inside the MIT Data: The 11.7% of the US Workforce Exposed to AI Automation

Labor Economists 40%State Policymakers 30%Enterprise Leaders 30%

3 sources · 24d ago

Enabled EmissionsEvidence Pack

AI's Productivity Gains in Fossil Fuels Outweigh Its Climate Benefits for Renewables, Study Finds

Climate Researchers & Modelers 40%Environmental Advocates 30%Energy Industry Analysts 30%

7 sources · 27d ago

ExplainerEconomic Metrics

UN Expert Group Proposes Global Dashboard to Measure Progress Beyond GDP

Multilateral Institutions 40%Development Economists 35%Fiscal Pragmatists 25%

6 sources · 28d ago

Research BriefGenomic Data

Inside the NIH 'All of Us' Database: The Evidence Powering Precision Medicine

Precision Medicine Researchers 45%Health Equity Advocates 35%Clinical Integration Specialists 20%

4 sources · 30d ago

Inflation WatchEvidence Pack

US CPI Plummets 0.4% in June, Driven by Energy and Core Price Decline

Macroeconomic Analysts 44%Financial Markets 33%Official Data & Policymakers 22%

6 sources · 35d ago

Energy MarketsEvidence Pack

Strait Closures Drive Crude Oil Near $100 and European Gas to Four-Year Highs: Market Evidence Pack

Energy Market Analysts 45%European Energy Importers 35%Emerging Market Consumers 20%

7 sources · 35d ago

Ancient GenomicsEvidence Pack

Harvard Analysis of 16,000 Ancient Genomes Shows Human Evolution Accelerated After Farming

Evolutionary Geneticists 40%Anthropologists & Archaeologists 30%Medical Researchers 30%

7 sources · 54d ago

Research BriefMedical AI

The Evidence Pack: Machine Learning Program Achieves 43% Reduction in Colorectal Cancer Mortality in New Study

Clinical AI Researchers 40%Healthcare Administrators 35%Health Equity Advocates 25%

5 sources · 56d ago

Deep DiveAI Benchmarks

The Evidence Pack: Stanford Data Shows AI Systems Exceeding Human Benchmarks as Generative AI Investment Surges

Technological Optimists 40%Pragmatic Adopters 35%Governance & Safety Advocates 25%

3 sources · 56d ago

Climate ModelingEvidence Pack

New Data: Phytoplankton Emissions Are a Major, Underestimated Source of Climate-Cooling Aerosols

Atmospheric Physicists 45%Climate Optimists 30%Marine Ecologists 25%

4 sources · 71d ago

ExplainerExperiment Design

The Evidence Pack: How 'Adaptive' Algorithms Are Outperforming Traditional A/B Testing

Data Scientists & Marketers 40%Clinical Ethicists & Biostatisticians 35%Traditional Statisticians 25%

5 sources · 74d ago

Deep DiveDigital Phenotyping

The Evidence Pack: How Smartphone 'Digital Phenotyping' is Predicting Mental Health Relapses

Clinical Optimists 40%Methodological Cautious 35%Privacy & Ethics Advocates 25%

3 sources · 74d ago

Research BriefCognitive Longevity

The Evidence Behind Resistance Training for Cognitive Longevity

Neuroscience Researchers 35%Clinical Gerontologists 35%Exercise Physiologists 29%

8 sources · 87d ago

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