Elections & Democracy
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Brazil Judiciary
Brazil's Supreme Court Plunges Into Crisis Over Banco Master Scandal Ahead of Presidential Election
5 sources · 43d ago
Voter ID Laws
Supreme Court Permits New Hampshire Ban on Student IDs for Voting Ahead of Midterms
4 sources · 6h ago
Redistricting Standoff
Conflicting Federal Court Orders Leave Missouri Congressional Map in Limbo
2 sources · 44d ago
More in Elections & Democracy
Deep DiveElection Administration
How America Voted in 2024: The Permanent Shift to Early and Mail Ballots
Election Administrators 50%Demographic Analysts 25%Civic Technologists 25%
Alberta SeparatismAlberta
Alberta Voters Overwhelmingly Reject Independence Referendum to Remain in Canada
Canadian Federalists 50%Alberta Separatists 25%Provincial Pragmatists 25%
US-Israel RelationsBenjamin Netanyahu
US Defense Secretary Hegseth Makes Unannounced Visit to Israel Ahead of Election
Netanyahu's Coalition 35%US Administration 35%Regional Observers 30%
Presidential RunoffBrazil
Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro Clash in First Presidential Runoff Debate
Lula's Coalition 48%Conservative Movement 48%Neutral Observers 4%
Election IntegrityDepartment of Justice
Federal Agents Arrest 11 Across California in Non-Citizen Voting Probe
Federal Law Enforcement 40%State Officials & Advocates 40%Election Integrity Analysts 20%
ExplainerElectoral Systems
The Mathematical Floor of Discarded Ballots in Plurality Elections
Electoral Reform Advocates 65%Major Party Defenders 35%
Senate ElectionsAndrej Babiš
Czech Senate Elections Deal Blow to Prime Minister Andrej Babis' Governing Coalition
Pro-Western Opposition 45%Governing Coalition 35%Independent Analysts 20%
ExplainerElectoral Systems
How District Magnitude Caps Electoral Disproportionality Across Parliaments
Proportionality Advocates 35%Institutional Reformers 35%Plurality Advocates 30%
Midterm ElectionsDonald Trump
Eighty Percent of US Voters Demand Major Political Change as Trump Approval Falls Ahead of Midterms
Democratic Voters 45%Frustrated Republicans 35%Independent Swing Voters 20%
Deep DiveElectoral Systems
Compulsory Voting Eliminates the Socioeconomic Participation Gap Without Altering Government Spending Patterns
Empirical Political Economists 40%Civic Inclusion Advocates 35%Direct Democracy Proponents 25%
ExplainerVoting Theory
Eurovision's Twelve-Point Ballot Skips Nine and Eleven to Create a Victor's Premium After 1969's Four-Way Tie
Eurovision Organizers 40%Voting Theorists 30%Competitive Delegations 30%
ExplainerConstitutional Law
The Caretaker Convention: Why Outgoing Governments Cannot Sign Contracts or Appoint Officials
Constitutional Scholars 40%Civil Service Leadership 35%Defense and Infrastructure Contractors 25%
Campaign FinanceDonald Trump
DNC and Watchdogs File Federal Lawsuits Over Trump's Taxpayer-Funded Ad Blitz
Democratic Party Leadership 40%Trump Administration 30%Good Government Watchdogs 30%
ExplainerElectoral Math
The Condorcet Paradox: Why Instant-Runoff Voting Can Eliminate the Most Popular Candidate
Ranked-Choice Advocates 40%Condorcet Purists 35%Electoral Mathematicians 25%
ExplainerParliamentary Mechanics
How Confidence-and-Supply Agreements Keep Minority Governments in Power
Constitutional Scholars 40%Legislative Pragmatists 35%Electoral Strategists 25%
Balkan PoliticsMilorad Dodik
Bosnian Serb Nationalists Retain Power as Ethnic Blocs Dominate General Election
Serb Secessionists 39%Bosniak Unitarians 39%Croat Autonomists 22%
Executive PowerMedicare
Trump Directs $2 Billion From Medicare Fund for $90 Senior Rebates Ahead of Midterms
Legislative Oversight Defenders 40%Executive Authority Advocates 35%Healthcare Policy Analysts 25%
Deep DiveCampaign Finance
The Individual Donor Limit and the Corporate Source Ban: How Democracies Regulate Campaign Finance
Egalitarian Regulators 40%Free Speech Advocates 30%Transparency Realists 30%
AfD SurgeLeadership Crisis
German Chancellor Merz Faces Collapse as Far-Right AfD Takes National Poll Lead Amid Intensifying Crisis
AfD & Right-Wing Populists 40%Governing Coalition & CDU 35%Left-Wing & Systemic Critics 25%
Voting RightsCourt Decision
Texas Highest Criminal Court Upholds Acquittal of Crystal Mason in Voting Case
Civil Rights Advocates 55%Neutral Legal Reporting 45%
Housing CrisisPolicy Move
Berlin's Far-Left Mayor-Elect Pledges to Expropriate 200,000 Housing Units From Corporate Landlords
Tenant Advocates & Die Linke 40%Federal Conservatives & Investors 35%Moderate Regulators 25%
Ballot SeizureCourt Ruling
California Supreme Court Rules Sheriff Unlawfully Seized 650,000 Ballots
State Election Officials 50%Local Law Enforcement 30%National Observers 20%
Russian ElectionsStakes Watch
Russia Concludes State Duma Elections with Illegal Voting in Occupied Ukrainian Territories
Western Governments and the EU 45%Independent Political Analysts 35%Factlen Editorial Synthesis 20%
ExplainerSurvey Methodology
The Semantic and Syntactic Mechanisms That Cause Question Wording Effects in Public Opinion Surveys
Methodological Standardization 50%Semantic Framing Analysis 50%
ExplainerElectoral Math
The D'Hondt Divisor Sequence: How Proportional Representation Systems Allocate Seats Based on Highest Averages
Majoritarian Advocates 50%Strict Proportionality Advocates 50%
ExplainerPolling Mechanics
The Fear of Social Isolation That Causes the 'Spiral of Silence' and Distorts Public Opinion Polls
Polling Traditionalists 40%Behavioral Methodologists 35%Digital Sociologists 25%
Census ApportionmentPolicy Decision
Trump Administration Proposes 2030 Census Overhaul Tied to Apportionment
Total Population Advocates 50%Citizen-Only Apportionment Supporters 50%
ExplainerMail Voting
Supreme Court Rejects Bid to Restrict Mail-In Ballots Ahead of 2026 Midterms
Legal & Institutional Observers 50%Voting Rights & Access Advocates 25%Election Security Proponents 25%
Okinawa RealignmentStrategic Shift
LDP-Backed Genta Koja Ousts Denny Tamaki in Okinawa Election, Clearing Path for US Base Relocation
Japanese Central Government 40%Okinawan Anti-Base Coalition 35%Regional Security Analysts 25%
ExplainerConstitutional Mechanics
The State Delegation Vote: How the 12th Amendment Structures a Contingent Presidential Election
Democratic Reformers 40%Constitutional Originalists 35%Institutional Analysts 25%
ExplainerGerrymandering Metrics
The Efficiency Gap: Why a Single Number Can Prove That a Legislative Map Is an Unconstitutional Gerrymander
Electoral Reform Advocates 40%Skeptical Legal Scholars 35%Geographic Realists 25%
Swedish ElectionStakes Watch
Sweden Holds Tightest Election in Decades as Far-Right Seeks Government Role
Right-Wing Bloc 50%Left-Wing Bloc 50%
Voting RightsLegal Challenge
Civil Rights Groups and Denver Sue to Block Armed ICE Officers From Polling Places
Civil Rights Advocates 50%Federal Law Enforcement 50%
ExplainerPolling Accuracy
Why a 9% Response Rate Doesn't Mean a Poll is 91% Wrong
Survey Methodologists 45%Commercial Survey Platforms 30%Skeptical Public 25%
ExplainerRedistricting
How State Legislatures Dilute Opposing Voters Through Packing and Cracking
Voting Rights Advocates 40%Mapmaking Legislators 35%Computational Researchers 25%
ExplainerRanked-Choice Voting
The Mathematical Threshold of Ballot Exhaustion in Ranked-Choice Voting
Electoral Reform Advocates 40%Plurality Defenders 35%Election Administrators 25%
Voter RegistrationCourt Injunction
Federal Judge Temporarily Blocks Ohio Law Requiring Documentary Proof of Citizenship for Voting
Voting Rights Advocates 50%State Election Officials 50%
ExplainerPolling Math
The Square Root of the Sum of Squares: Why Comparing Two Polls Requires a Larger Margin of Error
Statistical Methodologists 40%Data Journalists 35%Corporate Researchers 25%
Election LawLegal Ruling
Supreme Courts Block Michigan Proof-of-Citizenship Ballot Measure
Ballot Measure Organizers 40%State Election Officials 35%Voting Rights Advocates 25%
Election IntegrityFederal Oversight
Justice Department Deploys Monitors to New Hampshire Primary Polling Sites
Federal Enforcement 35%State Administrators 35%Democratic Lawmakers 30%
ExplainerElectoral Fusion
The Disaggregated Ballot: Why Fusion Voting Converts Third-Party Spoilers Into Legislative Leverage
Centrist Reformers 40%Two-Party Institutionalists 35%Fringe-Party Critics 25%
Mail-In VotingEmergency Ruling
Supreme Court Emergency Order Allows Trump Mail-In Voting Rules to Take Effect
State Election Officials 40%Trump Administration 35%Voting Rights Advocates 25%
ExplainerShadow Docket
Supreme Court Faces Third Emergency Appeal on 2026 Mail-In Ballot Rules
Judicial Transparency Advocates 50%Executive Branch Advocates 30%Independent Analysts 20%
Redistricting FightPolicy Decision
Missouri Appeals to US Supreme Court After State Justices Block Congressional Map
Republican State Officials 40%Direct Democracy Advocates 40%Election Administrators 20%
ExplainerPolling Methodology
How Probabilistic Likely Voter Models Fix the Cutoff Bias in Election Polling
Probabilistic Modelers 45%Voter File Advocates 30%Traditional Cutoff Defenders 25%
ExplainerPolling Methodology
The 7-Question Cutoff: How Pollsters Filter Registered Voters to Predict Election Turnout
Probabilistic Modelers 40%Traditional Deterministic Pollsters 30%Voter File Advocates 30%
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