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Prediction MarketsRegulatory Action· 3 min read· in Gaming & Esports

Connecticut Issues Cease-and-Desist Orders to Nine Prediction Markets in Sweeping Sports Betting Crackdown

Connecticut regulators have ordered nine major prediction markets, including Polymarket and Robinhood, to halt operations in the state, escalating a national fight over whether event contracts constitute illegal sports gambling.

By Jackson Reed

State Gaming Regulators 40%Prediction Market Operators 35%Licensed Sportsbooks 25%
State Gaming Regulators
Argue that prediction markets are unlicensed sportsbooks that bypass critical consumer protections and age verification.
Prediction Market Operators
Frame their platforms as financial derivative exchanges dealing in event contracts, falling under federal commodities law.
Licensed Sportsbooks
View the unregulated markets as unfair competition operating without the burden of state taxes or compliance overhead.

Perspectives this story doesn't cover

  • Federal Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)
  • Retail prediction market traders

Fast facts

  1. Connecticut issued cease-and-desist orders to nine prediction markets, including Polymarket, Robinhood, and Crypto.com.
  2. The state argues these platforms are operating as unlicensed sportsbooks and bypassing critical consumer protections.
  3. Regulators also issued 29 subpoenas to gaming service providers and media companies to map the industry's infrastructure.
  4. The targeted platforms must immediately halt advertising to Connecticut residents and allow users to withdraw funds.

Why this matters

As prediction markets explode in popularity, Connecticut's aggressive legal action sets a precedent that could force major crypto and financial platforms to either geoblock users or face criminal penalties for operating unlicensed sportsbooks.

Hartford, Connecticut. The regulatory hammer has dropped on the prediction market industry. In a sweeping escalation of its war against unregulated gambling, the Connecticut Department of Consumer Protection (DCP) issued nine cease-and-desist orders and 29 subpoenas on Thursday, aiming to dismantle the infrastructure of unlicensed sports event contracts within state lines.[2]

The enforcement action targets a who's who of major financial and crypto platforms. Polymarket, Coinbase, Crypto.com, Robinhood, ProphetX, Novig, Webull, Gemini, and Underdog Predict all received immediate orders to halt operations. The state directive requires the nine operators to immediately cease advertising or offering "sports event contracts" to Connecticut residents, and mandates that they allow users to withdraw any held funds.[2][4]

State regulators are drawing a hard line, arguing that prediction markets are simply unlicensed sportsbooks operating under the guise of financial trading. DCP Commissioner Bryan Cafferelli stated plainly in a release: “Our laws are clear: sports betting may only be offered by legal, licensed sportsbooks that adhere to our regulations and technical standards.”[2][5]

The Department of Consumer Protection targeted nine major platforms in its latest enforcement sweep.

The state's core argument centers on the consumer protection guardrails that regulated markets require but prediction platforms allegedly bypass. Officials pointed out that these unregulated exchanges have accepted wagers from individuals under the legal betting age of 21, as well as from people actively enrolled on Connecticut's voluntary self-exclusion list for problem gambling.[1][3]

The state's core argument centers on the consumer protection guardrails that regulated markets require but prediction platforms allegedly bypass.

Furthermore, the state alleges these platforms offer event contracts on Connecticut collegiate sports. When lawmakers legalized sports wagering in 2021, they explicitly prohibited betting on in-state college teams to protect student-athletes from harassment and undue influence—a restriction the prediction markets have routinely ignored.[2][3]

The enforcement sweep extends far beyond the operators themselves. The DCP issued 29 subpoenas to gaming service providers and media companies. While these secondary businesses are not currently under investigation, the state is actively mapping the payment processing pipelines and advertising networks that allow the prediction markets to reach consumers and process transactions.[2][4]

The state issued 29 subpoenas to map the payment and advertising networks supporting the unregulated platforms.

This week's actions build on the state's ongoing legal battle against Kalshi, another prominent prediction market. In August 2026, a federal judge in Connecticut denied Kalshi's request for a preliminary injunction, ruling that sports event contracts constitute illegal gambling rather than federally protected commodities.[2][5]

The collision between state gaming laws and prediction markets represents a massive financial battleground. With the American Gaming Association estimating that $40 billion will be wagered on the NFL this season, licensed operators like DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics—the only three legal sportsbooks in Connecticut—face untaxed competitors operating entirely outside the state's compliance overhead.[2][5]

Prediction markets represent a massive, untaxed competitor to state-licensed sportsbooks.

The nine targeted platforms now face a stark ultimatum: geoblock Connecticut residents immediately or risk severe legal consequences. Failure to comply with the cease-and-desist orders could trigger heavy civil penalties under the Connecticut Unfair Trade Practices Act, alongside potential criminal charges for violating state gaming statutes.[2][4]

Viewpoints in depth

State Regulators' Stance

Connecticut officials view prediction markets as illegal gambling operations that actively bypass consumer protection laws.

For the Department of Consumer Protection, the distinction between a prediction market and a sportsbook is a legal fiction. Regulators argue that allowing users to buy 'yes' or 'no' shares on a sporting outcome is functionally identical to placing a wager. By operating outside the state's 2021 gaming framework, officials contend these platforms bypass mandatory age verification, ignore voluntary self-exclusion lists, and violate the explicit ban on betting involving Connecticut collegiate sports—putting vulnerable populations at risk.

The Prediction Market Defense

Operators argue their platforms are financial exchanges dealing in event contracts, not traditional sportsbooks.

Platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi have consistently positioned themselves as financial derivative markets rather than gambling sites. They argue that their 'event contracts' operate under the jurisdiction of the federal Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), not state-level gaming boards. From their perspective, users are trading shares based on the probability of real-world events, a mechanism they claim is fundamentally different from betting against a house line.

Licensed Operators' View

Regulated sportsbooks see prediction markets as untaxed competitors operating without compliance overhead.

For the three licensed operators in Connecticut—DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics—the proliferation of prediction markets represents a massive, unregulated threat. These companies paid millions for market access, adhere to strict technical standards, and remit significant tax revenue to the state. They view the crypto-backed prediction platforms as unfair competition that siphons off betting volume while entirely dodging the financial and operational burdens of state compliance.

Sources

Source coverage

5 outlets

3 viewpoints surfaced

State Gaming Regulators 40%Prediction Market Operators 35%Licensed Sportsbooks 25%
  1. [1]fox61.comState Gaming Regulators

    Connecticut takes legal action against prediction markets taking sports wagers

    Read on fox61.com
  2. [2]LegalSportsReportState Gaming Regulators

    Connecticut Orders 9 Prediction Markets to Cease Sports Betting

    Read on LegalSportsReport
  3. [3]Bonus.comPrediction Market Operators

    Connecticut Issues 9 Orders Against Prediction Markets Over Alleged Illegal Sports Betting

    Read on Bonus.com
  4. [4]EGR GlobalPrediction Market Operators

    Connecticut ramps up prediction markets clampdown with nine cease-and-desist orders

    Read on EGR Global
  5. [5]iGamingToday.comLicensed Sportsbooks

    Connecticut Widens Crackdown on Prediction Markets as Sports-Betting Fight Escalates

    Read on iGamingToday.com

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