SpaceX IPOMarket MoveJun 18, 2026, 11:48 PM· 3 min read· #6 of 6 in finance

SpaceX Options Debut Shatters Records as Post-IPO Frenzy Briefly Pushes Valuation to $2.8 Trillion

In a historic market milestone, SpaceX's first week of options trading saw over a million contracts exchange hands on day one, triggering a massive stock surge fueled by retail enthusiasm and a $60 billion AI acquisition.

By Factlen Editorial Team

Retail Bulls & Trend Traders 40%Fundamental Value Skeptics 35%Institutional Analysts 25%
Retail Bulls & Trend Traders
Investors capitalizing on momentum and the company's aggressive expansion into AI.
Fundamental Value Skeptics
Analysts warning that the stock's valuation is disconnected from near-term financial reality.
Institutional Analysts
Financial professionals managing the unprecedented volatility and structural mechanics of the trade.

What's not represented

  • · Retail investors who bought at the peak and are currently holding losses
  • · Competitors in the aerospace sector watching capital flow away from their stocks

Why this matters

SpaceX's unprecedented public market debut is reshaping the tech sector's financial landscape, pulling massive capital away from other mega-cap leaders and signaling a new era of retail-driven options speculation that directly impacts broader market volatility.

Key points

  • SpaceX options debuted to record-breaking volume, with over 1 million contracts traded on the first day.
  • A resulting gamma squeeze pushed the stock to an intraday peak of $225.64, briefly valuing the company at $2.8 trillion.
  • The company announced a $60 billion all-stock acquisition of AI coding platform Cursor.
  • Analysts warn the stock is trading at a massive premium of 39.2 times projected 2027 sales.
  • Shares pulled back mid-week to roughly $191, leaving some post-IPO retail buyers underwater.
  • SpaceX is reportedly preparing to meet with investors to discuss a $20 billion bond offering.
1 million+
Day-one options contracts traded
$2.8 trillion
Peak intraday market cap
$85.7 billion
Total raised in IPO
39.2x
Projected 2027 price-to-sales ratio

SpaceX's first week as a publicly traded entity has rewritten the financial record books, culminating in an options trading debut that triggered a massive, volatility-fueled surge in its stock price. Following its historic June 12 initial public offering—which ultimately raised $85.7 billion after underwriters exercised their options—the aerospace giant opened its derivatives market on Tuesday to unprecedented retail and institutional demand.[1][2]

Within the first hour of trading, more than half a million options contracts changed hands. By the end of the session, that figure eclipsed one million, shattering the previous debut record of 340,000 set by Facebook 14 years ago. The overwhelming majority of this volume was concentrated in bullish call options, reflecting intense speculation that the newly minted stock would continue its upward trajectory.[1][3]

This tidal wave of call buying forced options dealers—who take the other side of the trades—to aggressively purchase the underlying stock to hedge their own risk. This mechanical buying loop, known as a gamma squeeze, propelled SpaceX shares to an intraday high of $225.64 on Tuesday, up significantly from its $135 IPO price.[4][5]

SpaceX shattered the previous record for first-day options volume, driven by intense retail demand.
SpaceX shattered the previous record for first-day options volume, driven by intense retail demand.

At its peak, the rally pushed SpaceX's market capitalization to roughly $2.8 trillion, allowing it to briefly leapfrog Amazon and Microsoft to become one of the most valuable publicly traded companies in the world. Trading volume in the underlying shares was equally staggering, with $52 billion worth of stock changing hands—the highest turnover among all large U.S.-listed firms that day.[5]

Adding fuel to the speculative fire, SpaceX announced a massive foray into artificial intelligence on Tuesday, agreeing to acquire Anysphere—the holding company of the popular AI code editor Cursor—in an all-stock deal valued at $60 billion. While some analysts applauded the move as a necessary expansion into AI infrastructure, the sheer size of the equity dilution introduced extreme structural pricing anomalies into the options market.[2][8]

The options market immediately priced in historic levels of uncertainty. Short-term contracts expiring within days saw implied volatility explode past 160%, creating an extreme "backwardation" where near-term risk was priced significantly higher than long-term leaps. Market makers demanded historic premiums to facilitate trades, though liquidity remained robust around the at-the-money strike prices.[4]

Short-term options contracts priced in historic levels of volatility during the stock's opening week.
Short-term options contracts priced in historic levels of volatility during the stock's opening week.
The options market immediately priced in historic levels of uncertainty.

The frantic buying has left fundamental analysts sounding the alarm over a "fear of missing out" (FOMO) mentality. Based on consensus estimates, SpaceX is currently trading at 39.2 times its projected 2027 sales—making it vastly more expensive than any stock currently in the S&P 500 index. For comparison, Tesla, often cited for its premium valuation, trades at roughly 12.6 times forward sales.[2]

Reality began to set in by mid-week. After peaking on Tuesday, the stock pulled back roughly 5% on Wednesday and continued to slide on Thursday, settling near $191. The reversal wiped out hundreds of billions in paper valuation and left the average post-IPO retail buyer slightly underwater, as the volume-weighted average price hovered just below $180.[2][7][8]

SpaceX's valuation premium far exceeds other mega-cap technology stocks on a forward price-to-sales basis.
SpaceX's valuation premium far exceeds other mega-cap technology stocks on a forward price-to-sales basis.

Despite the mid-week cooling, the financial maneuvering is far from over. Wall Street bankers are reportedly preparing to meet with investors as early as next week to discuss a potential SpaceX bond offering of at least $20 billion. As the initial euphoria settles, the market is bracing for continued turbulence, with options pricing suggesting that SpaceX will remain one of the most heavily traded and volatile assets of the year.[1][4][6]

How we got here

  1. June 12, 2026

    SpaceX completes its initial public offering, raising an initial $75 billion.

  2. June 15, 2026

    Underwriters exercise their options, bringing the total IPO raise to $85.7 billion.

  3. June 16, 2026

    SpaceX options debut, shattering volume records and triggering a gamma squeeze that pushes the stock to $225.64.

  4. June 16, 2026

    The company announces a $60 billion all-stock acquisition of AI coding platform Cursor.

  5. June 18, 2026

    Shares pull back to $191 as initial retail euphoria cools and valuation concerns emerge.

Viewpoints in depth

Retail Bulls & Trend Traders

Investors capitalizing on momentum and the company's aggressive expansion into AI.

For momentum traders and retail investors, the sky-high valuation is a secondary concern to the sheer velocity of the stock. This camp views the $60 billion acquisition of AI coding platform Cursor as a masterstroke that positions SpaceX not just as an aerospace company, but as a foundational AI infrastructure play. By utilizing defined-risk options strategies like call spreads and broken-wing butterflies, these traders are aggressively betting that the stock's momentum—and the resulting gamma squeezes—will continue to overpower traditional fundamental gravity.

Fundamental Value Skeptics

Analysts warning that the stock's valuation is disconnected from near-term financial reality.

Value-oriented analysts are pointing to the math. Trading at nearly 40 times projected 2027 sales, SpaceX is priced for absolute perfection over the next decade. This camp argues that the massive options volume is a symptom of speculative FOMO rather than sound investing, noting that the company's small public float (roughly 5% of total shares) artificially inflates its market cap. The mid-week pullback, which left many late buyers underwater, is viewed by skeptics as the inevitable reality check for a stock that flew too close to the sun.

Institutional Market Makers

Financial professionals managing the unprecedented volatility and structural mechanics of the trade.

For the dealers facilitating these trades, the focus is entirely on risk management and market mechanics. Because SpaceX cannot be perfectly hedged with any other asset, market makers were forced to buy the underlying stock to offset the massive influx of retail call buying, directly fueling Tuesday's price spike. Institutions are now navigating an options term structure in extreme backwardation, demanding historic premiums for short-term contracts while preparing for the company's upcoming $20 billion bond issuance to absorb further capital.

What we don't know

  • Whether the extreme implied volatility will normalize in the coming weeks or if the stock will remain subject to violent gamma squeezes.
  • How the $60 billion Cursor acquisition will be integrated into SpaceX's core aerospace and satellite operations.
  • The exact terms and pricing of the rumored $20 billion bond offering.

Key terms

Gamma Squeeze
A rapid increase in a stock's price caused by options market makers buying the underlying shares to hedge against a massive influx of call option purchases.
Implied Volatility (IV)
A metric that captures the market's forecast of a likely movement in a security's price, often used to price options contracts.
Backwardation
A market condition where near-term contracts are priced higher than long-term contracts, usually indicating immediate panic or intense short-term speculation.
Price-to-Sales Ratio
A valuation metric that compares a company's stock price to its revenues, often used for companies that are not yet consistently profitable.
Public Float
The portion of a company's shares that are in the hands of public investors and available for trading, as opposed to locked-in shares held by insiders.

Frequently asked

Why did SpaceX stock surge so quickly after its IPO?

The surge was largely driven by a 'gamma squeeze.' A massive number of investors bought call options, forcing the market makers who sold those options to buy the underlying stock to hedge their risk, which drove the price up.

Is SpaceX the most valuable company in the world?

Not currently, though it briefly entered the top five. At its peak intraday price, its market cap hit roughly $2.8 trillion, briefly surpassing Amazon, but it has since pulled back.

Why did SpaceX buy an AI coding company?

SpaceX agreed to acquire Cursor (Anysphere) for $60 billion in stock to aggressively expand its footprint into artificial intelligence infrastructure, viewing AI as synergistic with its satellite and space operations.

Is the stock considered expensive?

Yes. Based on consensus estimates, it trades at nearly 40 times its projected 2027 sales, making it vastly more expensive than any stock currently in the S&P 500.

Sources

Source coverage

8 outlets

3 viewpoints surfaced

Retail Bulls & Trend Traders 40%Fundamental Value Skeptics 35%Institutional Analysts 25%
  1. [1]MarketWatchRetail Bulls & Trend Traders

    SpaceX options volume explodes as trading kicks off

    Read on MarketWatch
  2. [2]MorningstarFundamental Value Skeptics

    SpaceX is vastly more expensive than any stock in the S&P 500, fueled by 'FOMO' mentality

    Read on Morningstar
  3. [3]Fox BusinessRetail Bulls & Trend Traders

    The SpaceX IPO is already making history

    Read on Fox Business
  4. [4]Seeking AlphaInstitutional Analysts

    SpaceX options frenzy fuels stock rally in third day of trading

    Read on Seeking Alpha
  5. [5]BNN BloombergInstitutional Analysts

    SpaceX roars past Amazon's market valuation on topsy-turvy trading day

    Read on BNN Bloomberg
  6. [6]ReutersInstitutional Analysts

    SpaceX bankers prepare for potential $20 billion bond offering, source says

    Read on Reuters
  7. [7]CNBCFundamental Value Skeptics

    The average SpaceX buyer post-IPO is almost under water after two-day slide

    Read on CNBC
  8. [8]ForbesInstitutional Analysts

    SpaceX Stock Plunge Wipes Out $600 Billion After Cursor Deal Spooks Investors

    Read on Forbes
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