How Citizens' Assemblies Are Empowering the 'Exhausted Majority'
As political polarization reaches new heights, a structural innovation known as deliberative democracy is using random selection to surface the center perspective and bridge deep societal divides.
- The Exhausted Majority
- Pragmatic citizens seeking consensus and an end to hyper-partisan gridlock.
- Deliberative Democracy Advocates
- Believe sortition and structured dialogue produce superior policy outcomes.
- Institutional Skeptics
- Warn that assemblies lack formal power and rely entirely on the goodwill of politicians.
What's not represented
- · Elected politicians hesitant to cede power
- · Lobbyists and special interest groups
Why this matters
Traditional elections and social media algorithms disproportionately reward extreme, uncompromising voices. By changing how we gather public opinion, deliberative democracy offers a proven blueprint for breaking legislative gridlock and giving pragmatic citizens a voice in their own governance.
Key points
- Roughly 67% of the public belongs to the 'Exhausted Majority,' a group alienated by extreme political polarization.
- Citizens' assemblies use random selection (sortition) to create a demographically perfect microcosm of society.
- Participants undergo a rigorous learning phase with experts before deliberating in small, facilitated groups.
- The model has successfully broken political gridlock on complex issues in Ireland, Turkey, and Taiwan.
- To be effective long-term, deliberative models must be institutionalized so their recommendations cannot be easily ignored by politicians.
Across modern democracies, a profound disconnect has emerged between the volume of political discourse and the actual preferences of the public. Research by the nonpartisan group More in Common has identified a demographic they call the "Exhausted Majority"—roughly 67% of the population who feel alienated by the toxic, hyper-polarized nature of contemporary politics.[2][7]
This silent center is often overshadowed by the "superpolitical" wings. These highly engaged, deeply partisan factions make up roughly a third of the electorate but dominate social media algorithms, cable news panels, and primary elections. Because the extremes punch far above their numerical weight, the resulting political landscape often feels like a zero-sum battle that leaves pragmatic, consensus-driven citizens completely unrepresented.[5][7]

But a growing movement of political scientists and civic innovators argues that the problem is not the voters themselves, but the architecture of how we measure their will. Traditional polling captures snap judgments based on superficial headlines, while elections often force a binary choice between two extremes.[1][9]
Enter the concept of "deliberative democracy," a structural alternative designed to surface the center perspective. Pioneered in part by James Fishkin at Stanford University’s Deliberative Democracy Lab, the model relies on a tool called "Deliberative Polling" or, more broadly, the Citizens' Assembly.[1]
The core mechanism of a Citizens' Assembly is "sortition"—the ancient Athenian practice of selection by lottery. Rather than relying on self-selecting activists who show up to town halls, organizers use demographic data to randomly select a "mini-public" of 50 to 150 people. This group is engineered to be a perfect microcosm of the broader society in terms of age, gender, race, education, and political leaning.[3][4]
Once assembled, these citizens do not simply vote on their pre-existing biases. Instead, they enter a structured learning phase. Over several weeks or weekends, participants are paid for their time and provided with carefully balanced briefing materials. They hear from competing experts, stakeholders, and policymakers, and are given the opportunity to cross-examine them.[3]

Following the learning phase, the assembly moves into deliberation. Guided by trained, neutral facilitators, citizens discuss the trade-offs of various policy options in small groups. The goal is not to "win" a debate, but to find areas of overlapping consensus. By removing the performative incentives of re-election and social media clout, participants consistently demonstrate an ability to navigate highly contentious issues with nuance.[1][3]
Following the learning phase, the assembly moves into deliberation.
The most famous proof-of-concept occurred in Ireland. For decades, the country’s politicians were paralyzed by the deeply divisive issue of abortion, governed by the restrictive Eighth Amendment. In 2016, the government convened a Citizens' Assembly of 99 randomly selected citizens to tackle the issue.[8]
After five weekends of expert testimony and respectful deliberation, the assembly produced a nuanced set of recommendations that surprised many in the historically Catholic nation. They advised allowing terminations without restriction up to 12 weeks. When the government put the assembly's exact recommendations to a national referendum in 2018, 66.4% of the public voted in favor—nearly mirroring the assembly's internal consensus.[8]
This success is not limited to Western Europe. In Ankara, Turkey, a city grappling with severe political polarization, the municipal government launched the "Citizens of Ankara: Re-Assemble!" project in 2019. Over four years, more than 5,000 citizens participated in deliberative sessions, successfully crafting over 100 local policies on transportation, social cohesion, and urban development that were subsequently implemented by the city council.[6]

In the United States, local experiments are beginning to bridge the partisan divide. In Akron, Ohio, a recent Citizens' Assembly initiative brought together a diverse cross-section of the city, including conservative judges and formerly incarcerated individuals. By deliberating face-to-face, participants who would normally never interact found common ground on issues like gun violence and economic opportunity, realizing their shared stakes in the community's success.[10]
Technology is also being harnessed to scale these deliberative principles. In Taiwan, the government utilizes a platform called vTaiwan, powered by an open-source software called Polis. Unlike traditional social media platforms that amplify outrage, Polis maps areas of agreement and specifically surfaces statements that bridge divides between different ideological clusters, allowing thousands of citizens to collaboratively draft tech and transit regulations.[8]
However, the deliberative democracy movement faces a critical hurdle known as the "implementation gap." Because Citizens' Assemblies are typically advisory, their success relies entirely on the willingness of elected officials to enact their recommendations.[3][8]
When politicians cherry-pick or water down the assembly's findings, public trust can backfire. In 2024, Irish voters overwhelmingly rejected a set of government referendums on family roles specifically because politicians had altered the nuanced language originally proposed by a subsequent Citizens' Assembly. The lesson for civic innovators is clear: deliberation only works when it is tethered to real power.[8]

To address this, cities like Paris, Brussels, and Bogotá are moving beyond one-off experiments and institutionalizing permanent citizens' assemblies into their legislative frameworks. By making sortition a permanent fixture of local government, they ensure that the "Exhausted Majority" always has a seat at the table.[11]
Ultimately, the rise of deliberative democracy suggests that the public is far more capable of nuance than modern political theater implies. When given the time, the information, and the structure to engage respectfully, everyday citizens consistently find the center perspective—proving that the antidote to polarization might simply be a better way of talking to each other.[1][7][9]
How we got here
1988
Professor James Fishkin originates the concept of Deliberative Polling at Stanford University.
2015
Taiwan launches vTaiwan, utilizing Polis software to crowdsource consensus on tech regulations.
2016
Ireland convenes a 99-person Citizens' Assembly to tackle the deeply divisive issue of abortion.
2018
More in Common publishes the 'Hidden Tribes' report, identifying the 67% 'Exhausted Majority'.
2019
Ankara, Turkey launches a massive municipal citizens' assembly, passing over 100 local policies.
Viewpoints in depth
Deliberative Democracy Advocates
Civic innovators who believe sortition and structured dialogue produce superior policy outcomes.
This camp argues that the traditional electoral system incentivizes short-term thinking, performative outrage, and pandering to extreme bases. By removing the pressure of re-election and the influence of campaign finance, they believe everyday citizens are uniquely positioned to make difficult, long-term trade-offs. They point to the success of assemblies in Ireland and France as proof that the public is highly capable of grasping complex technical and moral issues when given the proper resources.
The Exhausted Majority
Pragmatic citizens frustrated by the toxicity of modern partisan politics.
Representing roughly two-thirds of the electorate, this broad coalition feels entirely left out of the current political paradigm. They are less interested in ideological purity and more focused on functional, common-sense solutions to everyday problems. For this group, deliberative models offer a refreshing alternative to the 'us versus them' narrative, providing a structured environment where nuance is rewarded and compromise is viewed as a strength rather than a betrayal.
Institutional Skeptics
Critics who warn that assemblies lack democratic accountability and enforcement power.
While acknowledging the value of deliberation, skeptics point out a critical flaw: citizens' assemblies have no constitutional authority. Because their recommendations are purely advisory, elected politicians can easily ignore them, cherry-pick the popular ideas, or water down the difficult trade-offs. Furthermore, some traditionalists argue that bypassing elected representatives in favor of a randomly selected 'mini-public' undermines the fundamental accountability mechanisms of representative democracy.
What we don't know
- Whether major global superpowers like the US or UK will ever institutionalize citizens' assemblies at the federal legislative level.
- How to prevent special interest groups and lobbyists from co-opting the 'expert testimony' phase of the assemblies.
- The long-term impact on public trust when politicians commission an assembly but ultimately reject its findings.
Key terms
- Citizens' Assembly
- A demographically representative group of citizens selected at random to study, discuss, and make recommendations on a specific policy issue.
- Sortition
- The practice of selecting political decision-makers or assembly participants by random lottery rather than by election.
- Mini-public
- A small group of people engineered through demographic quotas to accurately reflect the broader population of a city or country.
- Exhausted Majority
- A term for the roughly two-thirds of citizens who feel frustrated by extreme political polarization and desire pragmatic, consensus-driven solutions.
- Deliberative Polling
- A trademarked process that measures what the public would think about an issue if they had the time and resources to become fully informed.
Frequently asked
What is the difference between a citizens' assembly and a focus group?
While focus groups ask for immediate, top-of-mind reactions to prompts, citizens' assemblies require participants to spend weeks learning from experts and deliberating with peers before reaching a conclusion.
Do politicians have to follow the assembly's recommendations?
In most cases, citizens' assemblies are advisory. However, some governments commit in advance to putting the assembly's final recommendations to a binding public referendum or a formal legislative vote.
How do they ensure the assembly isn't biased?
Participants are selected via a demographic lottery to ensure exact representation, and the briefing materials they study are strictly vetted by independent advisory boards to guarantee neutrality.
Are participants paid for their time?
Yes. To ensure that working-class citizens and parents can afford to participate, assembly members are typically compensated for their time and provided with childcare and travel stipends.
Sources
[1]Stanford Deliberative Democracy LabDeliberative Democracy Advocates
What is Deliberative Polling®?
Read on Stanford Deliberative Democracy Lab →[2]More in CommonThe Exhausted Majority
The Beacon Project: Centering the Exhausted Majority
Read on More in Common →[3]Institute for GovernmentInstitutional Skeptics
Citizens' assemblies: How they work and why they matter
Read on Institute for Government →[4]ParticipediaDeliberative Democracy Advocates
Citizens' Assembly
Read on Participedia →[5]TIMEThe Exhausted Majority
The 'Exhausted Majority' Wakes Up
Read on TIME →[6]The European CorrespondentInstitutional Skeptics
Ankara shows how to overcome political and social fragmentation
Read on The European Correspondent →[7]Greater Good Science CenterThe Exhausted Majority
America's Biggest Divide Is the Superpolitical vs. the Exhausted Majority
Read on Greater Good Science Center →[8]ReinvantageInstitutional Skeptics
The reinvention of democracy: Assembly required
Read on Reinvantage →[9]Factlen Editorial TeamDeliberative Democracy Advocates
Synthesis by Factlen editorial team
Read on Factlen Editorial Team →[10]Federation for Innovation in DemocracyDeliberative Democracy Advocates
Citizens' Assembly School Builds Momentum for New Assemblies in Akron
Read on Federation for Innovation in Democracy →[11]Democracy & Belonging ForumDeliberative Democracy Advocates
Bridging Divides Through Deliberation
Read on Democracy & Belonging Forum →
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