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ExplainerSustainable Aviation· 4 min read· in Transportation

The Mechanics of Sustainable Aviation Fuel: How Airlines Are Decarbonizing Flight

Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) can reduce lifecycle flight emissions by up to 80% without requiring new aircraft engines. As production scales through waste-oil refining and synthetic pathways, the aviation industry is betting its net-zero future on this drop-in replacement.

By Layla Zaher

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In short

  • Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) is a drop-in replacement for conventional jet fuel that requires no modifications to aircraft engines.
  • When evaluated on a lifecycle basis, SAF can reduce aviation carbon emissions by up to 80%.
  • The most common production method today uses waste oils and animal fats, but feedstock limitations are driving investment into synthetic e-fuels.

The aviation industry faces a fundamental physics problem: current battery technologies are simply too heavy to power long-haul commercial flights, yet the sector is under immense global pressure to decarbonize its operations. The solution currently dominating industry strategy and investment is Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF), a drop-in replacement for conventional Jet-A kerosene that requires zero modifications to existing aircraft engines or airport fueling infrastructure.

Unlike conventional jet fuel, which pulls carbon from deep underground and releases it into the atmosphere, SAF is produced from renewable feedstocks. Because these feedstocks—ranging from agricultural waste to used cooking oil—absorbed carbon dioxide during their lifecycle, the net addition of greenhouse gases is drastically lower.[1]

When evaluated on a full lifecycle basis, Sustainable Aviation Fuel can reduce carbon emissions by up to 80% compared to traditional fossil fuels, making it the primary lever in the aviation sector's commitment to reach net-zero emissions by 2050. The mechanics of SAF rely entirely on its chemical identicality to conventional jet fuel.

Once refined, it is blended with traditional kerosene—currently approved for up to a 50% ratio—and pumped directly into the same fuel tanks and jet engines that have powered commercial flight for decades. This seamless integration allows airlines to begin decarbonizing immediately without waiting for revolutionary new aircraft designs.[1]

The current scale and future targets for Sustainable Aviation Fuel.

The most commercially mature method for producing this fuel is the Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids (HEFA) pathway. This process takes lipid-based feedstocks, such as animal fats and used cooking oil, and uses hydrogen to remove the oxygen molecules. During the HEFA process, the resulting straight paraffinic molecules are cracked and isomerized to match the exact carbon chain length required for jet fuel. Because it utilizes existing refinery technologies and established chemical processes, HEFA is currently the most cost-effective and widely deployed production method in the world.

However, the HEFA pathway faces a fundamental limitation: global feedstock availability. There is simply not enough used cooking oil and waste animal fat in the world to replace the billions of gallons of jet fuel consumed annually by commercial airlines. To scale beyond waste oils, the industry is aggressively developing the Alcohol-to-Jet (AtJ) pathway.

This method converts alcohols, such as ethanol derived from corn, sugarcane, or agricultural waste, into jet fuel by removing oxygen and linking the molecules together through a process called oligomerization. While AtJ opens up a vastly larger feedstock pool, it introduces complex debates around land use and the diversion of agricultural resources away from food production.

The ultimate endgame for sustainable aviation is the Power-to-Liquid (PtL) pathway, often referred to as synthetic e-fuels. This highly advanced process captures carbon dioxide directly from the atmosphere or industrial exhaust and synthesizes it with green hydrogen produced via renewable electricity. PtL fuels offer the promise of near-infinite scalability without competing for agricultural land or relying on waste streams. However, the technology remains highly energy-intensive and currently costs several times more than conventional jet fuel, requiring massive investments in renewable energy infrastructure to become economically viable.[2]

While HEFA dominates current production, synthetic PtL fuels offer the greatest long-term scalability.

Because SAF production is currently concentrated in a few specialized facilities globally, physically transporting the fuel to every airport worldwide would generate unnecessary emissions and logistical bottlenecks. To solve this inefficiency, the industry utilizes a "book and claim" accounting system.

Under this model, SAF is pumped into the fuel supply at an airport near the production facility, displacing conventional fossil fuel in that specific location. An airline operating on the other side of the world can then pay the price premium for that SAF, claiming the environmental attributes for its own corporate sustainability targets, even if its physical aircraft are burning traditional kerosene.

This decoupling of the physical fuel from its environmental attributes allows capital to flow into SAF production facilities regardless of their geographic location, accelerating the industry's overall transition. By treating the global aviation fuel supply as a single interconnected pool, book and claim ensures that every drop of SAF produced immediately contributes to decarbonization, without the carbon penalty of shipping the fuel across oceans.

It provides the financial mechanism necessary for airlines to fund the green premium of SAF while operating at airports that do not yet have physical access to the blended product.

SAF is chemically identical to conventional Jet-A kerosene.

Despite the technological viability of these pathways and accounting systems, the sheer scale of the challenge remains daunting. In 2024, global SAF production reached approximately 1 million tonnes, which represents just 0.3% of total global jet fuel consumption. The International Air Transport Association (IATA) estimates that SAF will need to account for roughly 65% of the emissions reductions required to hit the 2050 net-zero target. Achieving that scale will require a massive mobilization of capital, government incentives, and a rapid transition from feedstock-constrained HEFA production to infinitely scalable synthetic e-fuels.[1][2]

How we did this

Method
Normalisation of global SAF production volumes against total aviation fuel consumption to derive the current market penetration and the required scaling multiple for 2050.
What we found
To achieve the industry's 2050 net-zero targets, which rely on SAF for 65% of emissions reductions, current production capacity must scale by a factor of roughly 216, requiring a transition from feedstock-limited HEFA pathways to infinitely scalable Power-to-Liquid synthetic fuels.
What we worked from
  • 2024 global SAF production: 1 million tonnes — IATA
  • 2024 SAF market share: 0.3% of global jet fuel — IATA
Limits of this analysis
This projection assumes total global aviation fuel demand remains on its current growth trajectory and that hydrogen or electric propulsion do not displace liquid fuels faster than expected.

Viewpoints in depth

Aviation Industry Consensus

Airlines and manufacturers view SAF as the only viable near-term decarbonization path.

For commercial airlines and aerospace manufacturers, SAF represents a lifeline. Because it is a drop-in fuel, it protects trillions of dollars invested in existing aircraft fleets and airport infrastructure. Industry groups argue that while hydrogen and electric propulsion may eventually serve short-haul regional routes, the energy density required for transoceanic flights means liquid hydrocarbons will be necessary for decades. They are lobbying heavily for government subsidies to bridge the price gap between SAF and conventional jet fuel.

Environmental Skeptics

Climate advocates warn that SAF relies too heavily on constrained feedstocks and accounting loopholes.

Many environmental organizations view the current SAF strategy with deep skepticism. They point out that the most scalable current pathway—HEFA—relies on waste oils that are already fully utilized by other industries, meaning increased aviation demand could inadvertently drive deforestation for virgin vegetable oils. Furthermore, critics argue that 'book and claim' accounting allows airlines to market themselves as green while their physical aircraft continue to burn fossil fuels, potentially delaying the hard choices needed to reduce overall flight volumes.

Synthetic Fuel Developers

E-fuel pioneers argue that true sustainability requires moving away from biological feedstocks entirely.

Companies developing Power-to-Liquid (PtL) technologies argue that the aviation industry is wasting time on biofuel pathways that can never scale to meet global demand. They advocate for a massive build-out of direct air capture and green hydrogen infrastructure. While acknowledging that e-fuels are currently prohibitively expensive, these developers argue that economies of scale and renewable energy cost curves will eventually make synthetic kerosene the only mathematically viable way to achieve net-zero aviation.

Aviation Industry Consensus 45%Environmental Skeptics 30%Synthetic Fuel Developers 25%
Aviation Industry Consensus
Airlines and manufacturers view SAF as the only viable near-term decarbonization path.
Environmental Skeptics
Climate advocates warn that SAF relies too heavily on constrained feedstocks and accounting loopholes.
Synthetic Fuel Developers
E-fuel pioneers argue that true sustainability requires moving away from biological feedstocks entirely.

Perspectives this story doesn't cover

  • Agricultural sector representatives
  • Frequent flyers

Sources

Source coverage

2 outlets

3 viewpoints surfaced

Aviation Industry Consensus 45%Environmental Skeptics 30%Synthetic Fuel Developers 25%
  1. [1]IATAAviation Industry Consensus

    Developing Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF)

    Read on IATA →
  2. [2]Factlen Editorial TeamSynthetic Fuel Developers

    Synthesis by Factlen editorial team

    Read on Factlen Editorial Team →
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