Cardinals Look to Build Momentum Behind Kyle Leahy as Pirates Turn to Bullpen Game
St. Louis aims to push past the .500 mark as Kyle Leahy takes the mound against a struggling Pittsburgh lineup relying on opener Lake Bachar.
By Jackson Reed
- Cardinals Camp
- Focused on getting above .500 and riding Leahy's stellar August form.
- Pirates Camp
- Focused on the offensive slump and the bullpen game strategy.
- Betting & Analytics
- Focused on Cruz's platoon advantage and the Pirates' road struggles.
The St. Louis Cardinals are finally staring at the right side of the ledger. After grinding out a 4-1 victory in Friday night's series opener, the Redbirds sit at 68-68, dead even, with a chance to push above .500 on Saturday afternoon at Busch Stadium. The stakes are clear: with the calendar flipping to September in a matter of days, every series is a referendum on the postseason.[4][5]
On the other side of the diamond, the Pittsburgh Pirates are searching for a pulse. The Buccos have dropped 10 of their last 13 games on the road, watching their record slide to 65-71. More concerning is the offensive power outage—Pittsburgh has managed a meager five runs over its last four contests, failing to score more than a single run in three straight games.[4][7]
To stop the bleeding, Pirates manager Derek Shelton is turning to a bullpen game, handing the ball to right-hander Lake Bachar as the opener. Bachar brings a 3.70 ERA and a solid 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings into his seventh start of the year, but he has yet to record a quality start or pitch beyond the second inning in this role.[3][6]
The Cardinals, meanwhile, are sending out their August ace. Kyle Leahy takes the mound carrying a 10-4 record and a sparkling 3.13 ERA over 126 1/3 innings. The 29-year-old right-hander has been virtually untouchable this month, posting a 3-0 record with a microscopic 1.42 ERA across four August starts.[1][2]
Leahy’s success stems from a deep, six-pitch mix and improved command. He boasts a 21.7 percent strikeout rate and a stingy 7.0 percent walk rate, allowing him to navigate traffic and keep hitters off balance. In his last outing, a relief appearance against the Philadelphia Phillies, he tossed four scoreless frames.[3][6]
Leahy’s success stems from a deep, six-pitch mix and improved command.
But if there is a ghost in the machine for Leahy, it wears a Pirates uniform and stands six-foot-seven. Oneil Cruz has been an absolute nightmare for the Cardinals' right-hander. In his career against Leahy, Cruz is 2-for-6 with a towering 414-foot home run and a staggering 1.262 OPS.[1][2]
The underlying metrics explain the mismatch. Leahy relies heavily on his 94.2 mph four-seam fastball, throwing it over 26 percent of the time. Cruz, however, feasts on that exact pitch, carrying a .529 expected slugging percentage and a 67.3 percent hard-hit rate against four-seamers. How Leahy sequences his secondary offerings—particularly his sweeper—against Cruz will dictate the afternoon.[6]
Pittsburgh is desperately trying to manufacture offense around Cruz. Looking for a spark on Friday, the Pirates bumped Jared Triolo to the leadoff spot for just the fourth time this season. Triolo responded with two of the team's six hits and drove in their only run, but the lineup behind him failed to capitalize, leaving ten men on base.[4]
St. Louis is finding contributions from up and down the roster. Friday's win was fueled by rookie Quinn Mathews, who delivered 5 2/3 innings of one-run ball to secure his first major league victory. The offense provided early run support, highlighted by a two-run blast from catcher Jimmy Crooks—his fifth of the year—and a clutch RBI double from Nolan Gorman.[4][5]
The Cardinals have proven resilient in these afternoon spots, winning eight of their last nine day games following a game the previous day. Conversely, the Pirates have struggled under the sun, dropping seven of their last eight day games against National League opponents.[8]
Saturday's clash is a classic intersection of momentum and desperation. St. Louis has the starting pitching advantage and the home crowd, looking to cement their status as a legitimate wild-card threat. Pittsburgh needs its bullpen to pitch a flawless relay race while hoping its dormant bats can finally wake up against one of the league's hottest arms.[1][7]
Key points
- The Cardinals are 68-68 and looking to push above .500 with a win on Saturday.
- St. Louis starter Kyle Leahy is 3-0 with a 1.42 ERA in the month of August.
- Pittsburgh is utilizing a bullpen game, starting right-hander Lake Bachar as an opener.
- The Pirates have struggled offensively, scoring just five runs over their last four games.
- Pirates slugger Oneil Cruz has a 1.262 career OPS against Leahy.
How we got here
August 25-27
The Pirates score a combined four runs over three games, highlighting a severe offensive slump.
August 28
The Cardinals win the series opener 4-1 behind Quinn Mathews' first major league victory.
August 29
Kyle Leahy takes the mound looking to cap off a dominant August for St. Louis.
- 1.42
- Kyle Leahy's August ERA
- 1.262
- Oneil Cruz's career OPS vs. Leahy
- 5
- Runs scored by Pittsburgh in their last 4 games
Sources
[1]Action NetworkBetting & AnalyticsPirates vs Cardinals MLB Betting Preview
Read on Action Network →
[2]MLB.comPirates CampPittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals Preview - 08/29/2026
Read on MLB.com →
[3]Bleacher NationBetting & AnalyticsPirates vs. Cardinals Pitcher Matchup and Game Info
Read on Bleacher Nation →
[4]Altoona MirrorPirates CampPirates fall in series opener at St. Louis
Read on Altoona Mirror →
[5]KSDKCardinals CampCardinals beat Pirates 4-1; Quinn Mathews gets his 1st MLB win
Read on KSDK →
[6]Tony's PicksBetting & AnalyticsPittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals Prop Picks 08/29/2026
Read on Tony's Picks →
[7]Athlon SportsBetting & AnalyticsPittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals Betting Odds
Read on Athlon Sports →
[8]PickDawgzBetting & AnalyticsPittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends: August 29, 2026
Read on PickDawgz →
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