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Global record temperatures

The EU's Copernicus Climate Change Service predicts 2026 is virtually certain to exceed the 1.5-degree Celsius warming threshold.

Factlen Newsroom· Updated

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Illustration: Exceptionally low river flows have disrupted major European waterways as global temperatures continue to surge.From: European Climate Monitor Projects 2026 Will Rank as Second-Hottest Year on Record

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Key numbers

June 2026 global sea surface temp (record high)
21.0°C
Probability 2026 becomes hottest year on record
35%
Global ocean experiencing marine heatwaves
82%
Forecasted SST anomaly in key El Niño regions
2.9°C

From: Intensifying El Niño and Record Ocean Temperatures Put 2026 on Track to Become Hottest Year Ever

Charts, maps and images

Global temperatures are virtually certain to exceed the 1.5-degree pre-industrial threshold in 2026.From: European Climate Monitor Projects 2026 Will Rank as Second-Hottest Year on Record ·
Global ocean temperatures have shattered previous records, significantly raising the odds for a record-warm year.From: Intensifying El Niño and Record Ocean Temperatures Put 2026 on Track to Become Hottest Year Ever ·
The trajectory of 2026's global temperatures is steepening as the El Niño pattern takes hold.From: Intensifying El Niño and Record Ocean Temperatures Put 2026 on Track to Become Hottest Year Ever ·
How El Niño works: Weakened trade winds allow warm western Pacific waters to shift east, releasing massive amounts of heat into the atmosphere.From: Intensifying El Niño and Record Ocean Temperatures Put 2026 on Track to Become Hottest Year Ever ·
Illustration: While parts of Europe faced severe drought, other regions were inundated by heavy rainfall and flooding.From: European Climate Monitor Projects 2026 Will Rank as Second-Hottest Year on Record ·
The latest temperature data arrives as international delegations prepare for the COP31 climate summit in Turkey.From: European Climate Monitor Projects 2026 Will Rank as Second-Hottest Year on Record ·