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AnalysisNuclear PowerCapacity Watch· Updated · 4 min read· in Opinion

AI Data Centers and Climate Mandates Push Global Nuclear Power to Record Highs

Driven by surging data center demand and climate mandates, global nuclear generation hit a record high in 2025, with 78 gigawatts of new capacity currently under construction.

By Rohan Kapoor

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In short

  • Global nuclear generation hit a record high in 2025, driven by AI data center demand and climate goals.
  • 78 gigawatts of new nuclear capacity are currently under construction across 15 countries.
  • China and Russia account for 94% of the reactors that started construction over the past decade.

Yes, the global nuclear renaissance is no longer just a policy talking point—it is physically materializing on the grid. Driven by surging electricity demand from artificial intelligence data centers and strict climate mandates, global nuclear generation hit a record high in 2025, and 78 gigawatts of new capacity are currently under construction across 15 countries.[1][2]

The "nuclear renaissance" spent the last decade as an industry aspiration that consistently failed to translate into poured concrete. That divergence ended this year. The International Energy Agency's 2026 reports confirm that nuclear generation is forecast to grow at an average rate of 2.8% annually through 2030, more than double the 1.3% growth rate of the preceding five years.[2]

The primary driver is a structural shift in electricity demand. The IEA notes that consumption growth is being propelled by the most dynamic segments of global economies, specifically artificial intelligence data centers and the electrification of industrial usage. To meet this demand, global investment in nuclear power is holding steady at roughly $80 billion in 2026.[2]

China accounts for exactly half of the 78 gigawatts of nuclear capacity currently under construction worldwide.

The evidence is strongest in the actual construction pipeline. According to the IEA, 15 reactors are expected to come online in 2026 alone, adding close to 12 gigawatts of new capacity to the global grid. This represents a significant turnaround following a year of contraction in 2025, when retirements offset new additions.[2]

However, the data shows a heavily skewed geographic distribution. China and Russia continue to dominate the new-build landscape, accounting for 94% of reactors that started construction over the past decade. China alone is responsible for half of the 78 gigawatts currently under construction globally, approving roughly 10 new builds a year.[2]

The International Energy Agency forecasts nuclear generation growth to more than double its previous five-year pace.

Despite this Asian dominance, the renaissance is now demonstrably broadening to advanced economies that had previously soured on the technology. "The bipartisan embrace of nuclear power in the United States, driven primarily by the spike in demand for reliable and clean energy, has been nothing short of remarkable," notes the Washington Post editorial board, adding that the shift is happening across the globe.[1]

Japan provides the clearest evidence of this policy reversal. Following the 2011 Fukushima disaster, the country shut down its entire fleet of 54 reactors. But in early 2026, Tokyo Electric Power Company officially restarted Unit 6 at the Kashiwazaki-Kariwa Nuclear Power Station, the world's largest nuclear facility.[1][3][4]

This single 1,356-megawatt reactor is a massive addition to the grid. The Japanese government's 7th Strategic Energy Plan, adopted in 2025, mandates that nuclear energy's share of the country's power generation mix must grow from 8.5% in 2023 to approximately 20% by 2040. To meet this target, Japan will need to replace up to 14 of its aging reactors by the 2050s.[4]

Japan officially restarted Unit 6 at the Kashiwazaki-Kariwa Nuclear Power Station in early 2026.

In the United States, the focus has shifted from early-stage research to physical deployment and life extensions. The U.S. Department of Energy recently highlighted that four new advanced test reactors achieved criticality by July 2026, advancing federal mandates to revitalize the domestic nuclear industrial base.

The U.S. is also heavily investing in restarting retired plants, such as the Palisades generating station in Michigan, and streamlining the Nuclear Regulatory Commission's permitting process to accommodate the surging demand from tech companies.

Where the evidence remains thin is in the deployment timeline for Small Modular Reactors (SMRs). While the IEA identifies plans for up to 25 gigawatts of SMR capacity globally, only a handful of commercial SMRs are currently under construction, primarily in China and Russia.[2][5]

While traditional reactors dominate current construction, Western nations are heavily betting on Small Modular Reactors for future capacity.

Western SMR projects, despite securing billions in federal funding and private capital, are still navigating regulatory approvals and supply chain bottlenecks for high-assay low-enriched uranium (HALEU). The capital requirements also remain a significant hurdle; the IEA suggests the current $80 billion annual investment must rise substantially if countries are to meet their pledges to triple nuclear capacity by 2050.[2][5]

The data reveals a bifurcated reality: a massive, state-backed buildout of traditional large-scale reactors in Asia, paired with a Western strategy focused on life extensions, strategic restarts, and the highly anticipated—but still largely unproven—promise of commercial SMRs. The next verifiable checkpoint will be whether the U.S. and Europe can transition their SMR pilot programs into grid-connected reality before the end of the decade.[5]

Key terms

Criticality
The state in which a nuclear reactor sustains a continuous, controlled fission chain reaction, allowing it to generate steady power.
Small Modular Reactors (SMRs)
Advanced nuclear reactors that have a power capacity of up to 300 megawatts per unit, designed to be built in factories and shipped to sites for installation.
High-Assay Low-Enriched Uranium (HALEU)
A specialized nuclear fuel enriched to between 5% and 20%, required by many next-generation advanced reactor designs.

Viewpoints in depth

Nuclear Expansion Advocates

Argue that large-scale nuclear is the only viable path to decarbonize the grid while meeting surging AI and industrial demand.

This camp, heavily represented by the U.S. Department of Energy and major tech companies, views nuclear power as the indispensable baseload for the 21st-century economy. They point to the sheer scale of energy required by artificial intelligence data centers, arguing that intermittent renewables cannot provide the 24/7 reliability required. For these advocates, the 78 gigawatts currently under construction validate the thesis that nuclear is the only clean energy source capable of matching industrial-scale demand.

Energy Security Pragmatists

Focus on nuclear as a tool to reduce reliance on imported fossil fuels and insulate economies from geopolitical shocks.

Organizations like the International Energy Agency emphasize the geopolitical insulation that nuclear power provides. In countries like Japan, which imports roughly 90% of its energy requirements, restarting reactors is framed less as a climate initiative and more as a national security imperative. By displacing millions of tons of liquefied natural gas imports, nuclear generation acts as a hedge against volatile global energy markets and supply chain disruptions.

SMR Skeptics

Point out that while traditional reactors are scaling in Asia, Western Small Modular Reactors remain unproven and delayed.

While acknowledging the boom in traditional large-scale reactors, this perspective highlights the lack of physical progress in the highly touted Small Modular Reactor sector. Skeptics note that despite billions in federal funding, Western SMRs are still bogged down by regulatory hurdles, high capital costs, and a lack of domestic high-assay low-enriched uranium (HALEU). They argue that until these pilot programs actually connect to the grid, the Western 'renaissance' remains largely theoretical compared to China's concrete achievements.

Nuclear Expansion Advocates 45%Energy Security Pragmatists 35%SMR Skeptics 20%
Nuclear Expansion Advocates
Argue that large-scale nuclear is the only viable path to decarbonize the grid while meeting surging AI and industrial demand.
Energy Security Pragmatists
Focus on nuclear as a tool to reduce reliance on imported fossil fuels and insulate economies from geopolitical shocks.
SMR Skeptics
Point out that while traditional reactors are scaling in Asia, Western Small Modular Reactors remain unproven and delayed.

Perspectives this story doesn't cover

  • Local communities near restarted plants
  • Renewable-only energy advocates

Sources

Source coverage

5 outlets

3 viewpoints surfaced

Nuclear Expansion Advocates 45%Energy Security Pragmatists 35%SMR Skeptics 20%
  1. [1]Washington PostNuclear Expansion Advocates

    The nuclear energy renaissance is a global phenomenon

    Read on Washington Post →
  2. [2]International Energy AgencyEnergy Security Pragmatists

    Electricity 2026: The Path to a New Era for Nuclear Energy

    Read on International Energy Agency →
  3. [3]World Nuclear AssociationEnergy Security Pragmatists

    Nuclear Power in Japan

    Read on World Nuclear Association →
  4. [4]American Nuclear SocietySMR Skeptics

    Japan will need to replace up to 14 reactors by 2050s, draft policy says

    Read on American Nuclear Society →
  5. [5]Factlen Editorial TeamSMR Skeptics

    Synthesis by Factlen editorial team

    Read on Factlen Editorial Team →
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