The Evidence on Admissions: Why Elite Universities Are Reinstating the SAT and ACT
After a pandemic-era shift to test-optional policies, institutions like Harvard, Yale, and MIT have reinstated standardized testing requirements. An analysis of the underlying data reveals that test scores remain the strongest predictor of college success and can actually help identify high-achieving students from under-resourced high schools.
By Tiago Sousa
- Data-Driven Admissions
- Argues that standardized tests, when read in socioeconomic context, are the most equitable tool for identifying talent.
- Test-Optional Advocates
- Maintains that standardized tests inherently bias against low-income and minority students by measuring accumulated wealth and test-prep access.
- Evidence Synthesis
- Concludes that while tests correlate with wealth, they remain the least flawed metric available when grade inflation compromises GPAs.
Perspectives this story doesn't cover
- High School Guidance Counselors
- Independent Educational Consultants
- Students from Rural Districts
The great pandemic admissions experiment is coming to a close. Between 2020 and 2023, nearly every highly selective university in the United States dropped standardized testing requirements, citing the logistical impossibilities of administering the SAT and ACT during global lockdowns. At the time, many equity advocates celebrated the shift, hoping the removal of tests would permanently level the playing field for lower-income applicants.[1][2]
But as the pandemic receded, the tide decisively turned. Dartmouth College broke the Ivy League seal in early 2024, announcing a return to mandatory testing based on an exhaustive internal study. Within weeks, Yale, Brown, and finally Harvard followed suit, joining institutions like MIT and Georgetown that had already reinstated their requirements.[1][4]
The rapid reversal sparked immediate public debate, with critics accusing elite institutions of erecting old barriers to entry. However, the internal data driving these decisions tells a counterintuitive and highly empowering story for prospective students: standardized tests, when used correctly, are actually engines of equity.[6]
The foundation of this evidence pack rests on a landmark study by Opportunity Insights, a research group based at Harvard University. Economists Raj Chetty, David Deming, and John Friedman analyzed massive datasets from 'Ivy-Plus' colleges to determine exactly what metrics actually predict a student's ability to thrive on an elite campus.[3][5]
Their primary finding disrupted the prevailing narrative: standardized test scores are highly predictive of academic success in college, while high school grade point averages (GPAs) are virtually useless for distinguishing among elite applicants. A student with a perfect SAT score is significantly more likely to achieve a high college GPA than a student with an average score, regardless of their background.[3]
The culprit behind this divergence is rampant grade inflation. With the average high school GPA steadily climbing over the past decade, admissions officers found themselves staring at tens of thousands of transcripts boasting perfect or near-perfect grades. Without a standardized metric to validate those grades, the transcript lost its signaling power.[5]
When test scores were removed from the equation, admissions committees were forced to rely more heavily on other application components: personal essays, letters of recommendation, and extracurricular activities. This is where the equity trap snapped shut.[6]
Dartmouth’s internal researchers identified that these alternative criteria heavily favor affluent applicants. Wealthy students have access to private essay coaches, prestigious summer internships, and high-profile extracurriculars that polish an application to a high sheen. A standardized test, for all its flaws, is much harder to completely manufacture.
Dartmouth’s internal researchers identified that these alternative criteria heavily favor affluent applicants.
Furthermore, Dartmouth’s data revealed a tragic consequence of the test-optional era: lower-income students were actively withholding test scores that would have actually secured their admission, mistakenly believing their scores were not 'good enough' for the Ivy League.
Consider a student from an under-resourced high school who scores a 1400 on the SAT. Seeing that a university's median score is 1520, the student chooses not to submit it. But admissions officers read scores in context. A 1400 from a high school where the average score is 900 is a massive signal of academic exceptionalism. By withholding that score, the student inadvertently hid their greatest asset.[6]
MIT, which reinstated its requirement earlier, reported identical findings. Dean of Admissions Stuart Schmill noted that the university simply could not reliably predict which students from less-resourced backgrounds would survive MIT's grueling math and science core without the SAT or ACT. The test allowed MIT to confidently admit students from unknown high schools.[4]
The return to testing is not without its detractors. Organizations advocating for test-blind admissions, alongside administrators within the University of California system, argue that the tests themselves are fundamentally flawed and measure accumulated wealth rather than raw aptitude.[1][2]
These critics point to the undeniable correlation between family income and SAT scores. Wealthier families can afford expensive test-prep courses, multiple testing attempts, and private tutoring, all of which can artificially inflate scores by dozens of points.[3][6]
However, the data from Opportunity Insights suggests that while wealth correlates with higher scores, the scores themselves still accurately predict college grades. The solution, elite universities have concluded, is not to throw out the thermometer because it measures a cold room, but to read the temperature in context.[3][5]
The consensus emerging among elite private universities is that while the test is an imperfect tool, it is the least flawed metric available. By mandating the SAT or ACT but evaluating the scores through a strict socioeconomic lens, these institutions believe they can build more capable, diverse, and resilient incoming classes.[6]
Key points
- Elite universities like Harvard, Yale, and MIT have reinstated SAT/ACT requirements after a pandemic pause.
- Data shows standardized tests are a much stronger predictor of college success than high school GPAs.
- Grade inflation has made high school transcripts less useful for distinguishing top-tier applicants.
- Without test scores, admissions lean heavily on essays and extracurriculars, which favor wealthy students.
- Lower-income students were inadvertently hurting their chances by withholding strong test scores.
- Admissions officers read scores in context, rewarding students who vastly outperform their local high school averages.
Key terms
- Test-Optional
- An admissions policy where students can choose whether or not to submit standardized test scores; applications without scores are theoretically not penalized.
- Test-Blind
- An admissions policy where the university will not look at standardized test scores even if a student submits them.
- Grade Inflation
- The upward trend of high school GPAs over time, resulting in a disproportionate number of students receiving A grades, which makes it harder for colleges to distinguish academic excellence.
- Holistic Admissions
- An evaluation process that considers the whole applicant—including essays, background, and extracurriculars—rather than relying solely on grades and test scores.
Sources
[1]The New York TimesTest-Optional AdvocatesHarvard Reverses Course and Will Require Standardized Tests
Read on The New York Times →
[2]The Wall Street JournalTest-Optional AdvocatesThe SAT is Back at the Ivy League
Read on The Wall Street Journal →
[3]Opportunity InsightsData-Driven AdmissionsPredicting College Success: The Role of Standardized Test Scores
Read on Opportunity Insights →
[4]MIT AdmissionsData-Driven AdmissionsWe are reinstating our SAT/ACT requirement for future admissions cycles
Read on MIT Admissions →
[5]National Bureau of Economic ResearchData-Driven AdmissionsStandardized Test Scores and Academic Performance at Ivy-Plus Colleges
Read on National Bureau of Economic Research →
[6]Factlen Editorial TeamEvidence SynthesisSynthesis by Factlen editorial team
Read on Factlen Editorial Team →
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