NL Central RacePre-Game PreviewJul 7, 2026, 4:22 PM· 5 min read· #17 of 17 in sports

Brewers Send Ace Jacob Misiorowski to the Mound in Doubleheader Opener Against Cardinals

The Milwaukee Brewers look to extend their National League Central lead as Cy Young frontrunner Jacob Misiorowski takes the mound against the St. Louis Cardinals in the first game of a Tuesday doubleheader at Busch Stadium.

By Factlen Editorial Team

Brewers Analysts 40%Cardinals Supporters 30%Betting Markets 30%
Brewers Analysts
Confident in Milwaukee's pitching dominance and division control.
Cardinals Supporters
Focused on surviving the doubleheader and finding offensive consistency.
Betting Markets
Predicting a low-scoring Brewers victory.

What's not represented

  • · National MLB columnists looking at the broader playoff picture

Why this matters

This National League Central clash pits the division-leading Brewers against a Cardinals team fighting to stay in the postseason race. With Milwaukee's breakout ace Jacob Misiorowski on the mound, St. Louis faces a critical test of their lineup depth and bullpen management.

Key points

  • The Brewers and Cardinals face off in Game 1 of a day-night doubleheader at Busch Stadium.
  • Milwaukee sends Cy Young candidate Jacob Misiorowski (1.47 ERA) to the mound.
  • St. Louis will counter with Michael McGreevy, who holds a solid 3.12 ERA despite a 3-7 record.
  • The Brewers won the series opener 4-3 on Monday following a four-run seventh inning.
  • St. Louis enters the game with a taxed bullpen after using four relievers on Monday.
1.47
Misiorowski's ERA
56-33
Brewers' Record
47-41
Cardinals' Record
7.5
Over/Under Runs

The Milwaukee Brewers and St. Louis Cardinals are set to clash in a pivotal Tuesday afternoon matchup at Busch Stadium, marking the first half of a day-night doubleheader. The contest serves as the second game of an extended five-game series between the National League Central rivals. Milwaukee enters the day riding high after a dramatic 4-3 victory on Monday night, a win that further cemented their status as the team to beat in the division. For the Cardinals, Tuesday represents a critical juncture; they must find a way to navigate two games in one day against a superior opponent while managing a bullpen that was heavily taxed just 24 hours prior.

The standings paint a stark picture of the current National League Central hierarchy. The Brewers have surged to a 56-33 record, building a commanding lead and establishing themselves as one of the premier clubs in baseball. They have been particularly lethal on the road, boasting a 27-15 away record and a staggering +128 run differential. Conversely, the Cardinals sit at 47-41. While respectable, their record leaves them trailing Milwaukee by a significant margin and fighting desperately to maintain their footing in the crowded National League Wild Card race.[1]

The defining storyline of Tuesday afternoon's opener is the presence of Brewers ace Jacob Misiorowski on the mound. The 24-year-old right-hander has been nothing short of a revelation in 2026, emerging as the consensus frontrunner for the National League Cy Young Award. Through 17 starts, Misiorowski has compiled a 9-4 record alongside a microscopic 1.47 ERA and a 0.78 WHIP. Armed with triple-digit velocity and a devastating slider, he leads the majors in strikeouts and has held opposing hitters to a meager .150 batting average.[1]

Tale of the Tape: How the Brewers and Cardinals stack up ahead of Tuesday's matchup.
Tale of the Tape: How the Brewers and Cardinals stack up ahead of Tuesday's matchup.

Misiorowski's consistency has been the bedrock of Milwaukee's success. He has allowed three or fewer earned runs in every single start this season, providing the Brewers with a near-guaranteed opportunity to win every time he takes the ball. While he suffered a minor statistical blip in his last outing against the Cincinnati Reds—allowing five runs, though only one was earned, over five innings—he still managed to strike out 10 batters. Opposing lineups have found it nearly impossible to string together hits against him, making the Cardinals' offensive task exceptionally daunting.[2]

St. Louis will counter with right-hander Michael McGreevy, a pitcher whose underlying metrics suggest he has pitched far better than his traditional win-loss record indicates. McGreevy enters the contest with a 3-7 mark, but his 3.12 ERA over 95.1 innings tells the story of a reliable rotation piece who has suffered from an agonizing lack of run support. Unlike Misiorowski, McGreevy relies on command and inducing weak contact rather than overpowering hitters with strikeouts.[1]

Jacob Misiorowski has maintained a sub-2.00 ERA throughout his dominant 2026 campaign.
Jacob Misiorowski has maintained a sub-2.00 ERA throughout his dominant 2026 campaign.
Unlike Misiorowski, McGreevy relies on command and inducing weak contact rather than overpowering hitters with strikeouts.

The Cardinals' primary concern heading into the doubleheader is the state of their pitching staff beyond McGreevy. During Monday's series opener, St. Louis starter Dustin May was chased after just 4.2 innings, forcing manager Oliver Marmol to deploy four different relievers to cover the remainder of the game. With two games scheduled for Tuesday, McGreevy's ability to pitch deep into the afternoon is paramount. If the Brewers can elevate his pitch count early and force a quick hook, it could trigger a cascading bullpen crisis for St. Louis that bleeds into the nightcap.[1]

Milwaukee's offense, while occasionally overshadowed by their elite pitching, has proven adept at manufacturing runs in clutch situations. Monday's victory was a prime example, as the Brewers erased a 3-0 deficit with a massive four-run seventh inning, sparked by timely hitting from Bryce Turang and David Hamilton. The Brewers rank in the top half of the league in most offensive categories and have demonstrated a knack for capitalizing on defensive mistakes and wearing down opposing relievers.

Tactical execution will dictate the flow of the afternoon. For St. Louis, the offensive game plan must revolve around patience. The Cardinals rank 11th in the league in batting average but have struggled to generate power consistently. Against Misiorowski, their best hope is to work deep counts, draw walks, and attempt to rattle the young ace with traffic on the basepaths. However, even if they succeed in chasing Misiorowski, they will face a Milwaukee bullpen that ranks fourth in the majors with a 3.45 ERA.[1]

The Cardinals' lineup faces a daunting task against the National League's top run-preventer.
The Cardinals' lineup faces a daunting task against the National League's top run-preventer.

The betting markets heavily reflect the perceived mismatch on the mound. Oddsmakers have installed the Brewers as massive road favorites, with moneyline odds hovering around -195. Furthermore, the over/under total has been set at a remarkably low 7.5 runs, signaling an expectation of a pitcher's duel. Analysts point to the combination of Misiorowski's dominance, McGreevy's run-prevention skills, and the Cardinals' recent offensive sputtering as strong indicators that runs will be at a premium at Busch Stadium.[1]

Ultimately, Game 1 of this doubleheader is a microcosm of the divergent paths these two franchises are currently walking. The Brewers are operating with the swagger of a championship contender, leaning on generational pitching talent and opportunistic hitting to suffocate division rivals. The Cardinals, meanwhile, are in survival mode, searching for the right combination of timely hitting and resilient pitching to keep their postseason aspirations alive. A victory for Milwaukee would further demoralize a chasing rival, while a St. Louis upset could provide the exact spark needed to salvage their week.[1]

How we got here

  1. May 2026

    The Brewers sweep the Cardinals in a three-game series, establishing dominance in the season matchup.

  2. July 6, 2026

    Milwaukee wins the opening game of the current five-game series 4-3 after a late-inning rally.

  3. July 7, 2026 (2:15 PM ET)

    First pitch scheduled for Game 1 of the doubleheader at Busch Stadium.

Viewpoints in depth

Brewers Analysts

Confident in Milwaukee's pitching dominance and division control.

Milwaukee observers view this game as a prime opportunity to bury a division rival. With Jacob Misiorowski on the mound, the Brewers have a distinct advantage in run prevention. Analysts point to Milwaukee's elite bullpen and their ability to manufacture runs late in games as the formula that has propelled them to the top of the National League Central.

Cardinals Supporters

Focused on surviving the doubleheader and finding offensive consistency.

St. Louis fans and local media are sounding the alarm on the team's stretched bullpen. After a taxing series opener, the Cardinals need Michael McGreevy to pitch deep into Game 1. The consensus is that St. Louis must manufacture early runs and force Misiorowski into high pitch counts, turning the game into a battle of the bullpens where home-field advantage might play a role.

Betting Markets

Predicting a low-scoring Brewers victory.

Oddsmakers have installed Milwaukee as heavy road favorites, a rarity in divisional play that speaks to Misiorowski's dominance. Sharp bettors are heavily targeting the under on the 7.5 run total, citing both starters' ability to limit hard contact and the Cardinals' recent struggles to generate offense in the late innings.

What we don't know

  • How deep Michael McGreevy can pitch into the game to save the Cardinals' bullpen for the nightcap.
  • Whether the Cardinals will make any last-minute roster moves to bring up fresh relief arms for the doubleheader.

Key terms

Doubleheader
Two baseball games played between the same two teams on the same day.
Run Line
Baseball's version of a point spread, typically set at 1.5 runs, where the favorite must win by two or more runs.
WHIP
Walks and Hits Per Inning Pitched, a statistic used to evaluate a pitcher's effectiveness at keeping runners off base.

Frequently asked

Who is the starting pitcher for the Brewers?

The Brewers are starting 24-year-old right-hander Jacob Misiorowski, who boasts a 9-4 record and a 1.47 ERA.

Why are the teams playing a doubleheader?

The doubleheader includes a makeup game for a matchup that was postponed due to weather earlier in the season.

Where do the Brewers and Cardinals stand in the division?

The Brewers are in first place in the NL Central with a 56-33 record, while the Cardinals are in third place at 47-41.

Sources

Source coverage

2 outlets

3 viewpoints surfaced

Brewers Analysts 40%Cardinals Supporters 30%Betting Markets 30%
  1. [1]The SpreadBetting Markets

    Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Game Preview

    Read on The Spread
  2. [2]FOX SportsCardinals Supporters

    MLB Team Stats and Player News

    Read on FOX Sports
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