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Treasury Hikes Q3 Borrowing Estimate by $68 Billion to $739 Billion, Citing Lower Cash Flows

The Treasury Department has slightly reduced its borrowing projection for the final quarter of 2026 to $618 billion, citing improved cash balances. However, the agency anticipates borrowing will jump to $800 billion in the first quarter of 2027 as fiscal pressures mount.

Factlen Newsroom· Updated

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The US Treasury Department has revised its fourth-quarter borrowing estimate down to $618 billion.From: US Treasury Trims Fourth-Quarter Borrowing Estimate to $618 Billion Ahead of 2027 Surge

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Charts, maps and images

Treasury borrowing is projected to accelerate sharply in the first quarter of 2027.From: US Treasury Trims Fourth-Quarter Borrowing Estimate to $618 Billion Ahead of 2027 Surge ·
The Treasury aims to maintain a cash balance of $850 billion by the end of March 2027.From: US Treasury Trims Fourth-Quarter Borrowing Estimate to $618 Billion Ahead of 2027 Surge ·
A breakdown of the Treasury's revised third-quarter borrowing needs and cash balance targets.From: Treasury Hikes Q3 Borrowing Estimate by $68 Billion to $739 Billion, Citing Lower Cash Flows ·
Treasury borrowing is projected to step down slightly in the fourth quarter to $628 billion.From: Treasury Hikes Q3 Borrowing Estimate by $68 Billion to $739 Billion, Citing Lower Cash Flows ·
Illustration: Bond markets closely monitor the Treasury's quarterly refunding announcements to gauge incoming supply.From: US Treasury Trims Fourth-Quarter Borrowing Estimate to $618 Billion Ahead of 2027 Surge ·
Bond markets closely monitor Treasury issuance, as increased supply can drive up yields.From: Treasury Hikes Q3 Borrowing Estimate by $68 Billion to $739 Billion, Citing Lower Cash Flows ·

Timeline

November 2026

  1. US Treasury Trims Fourth-Quarter Borrowing Estimate to $618 Billion Ahead of 2027 Surge

August 2026

  1. Treasury Hikes Q3 Borrowing Estimate by $68 Billion to $739 Billion, Citing Lower Cash Flows