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NHL ExpansionBusiness Strategy· 5 min read· in Sports

NHL Targets December Agreement for Texas Expansion Franchise to Debut in 2029-30

NHL Deputy Commissioner Bill Daly confirmed the league is finalizing a framework with billionaire Dan Friedkin for a $2 billion expansion franchise in Texas. The 33rd team, likely based in Houston or Austin, is projected to begin play in the 2029-30 season.

By Camila Torres

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The price tag is $2 billion, the target date is December, and the destination is deep in the heart of Texas. After years of quiet maneuvering and speculative whispers, the National Hockey League is officially accelerating its push to crown a 33rd franchise. Speaking during the NHL's European Media Tour in Munich, Deputy Commissioner Bill Daly stripped away the remaining ambiguity: the league has agreed on the framework of a transaction with Houston billionaire Dan Friedkin, aiming to finalize the deal before the calendar flips to 2027.[1][3]

If the ink dries as expected, the NHL's newest club will take the ice for the 2029-30 season, fundamentally altering the balance of power in the Western Conference and establishing a massive new foothold in the American South. The move would also push the NHL past the NFL to become the largest major professional sports league in North America by team count.[1][2]

"We hope to have definitive agreements in place that would commit the franchise as early as December this year," Daly confirmed, outlining a timeline that has suddenly shifted from theoretical to imminent. The league expects to close the transaction in early 2029, giving the new ownership group a frantic but feasible three-year runway to build a front office, draft a roster, and launch a brand.[1]

The financial stakes are staggering. While the Seattle Kraken paid a then-record $650 million expansion fee to enter the league in 2021, the Texas franchise will command a $2 billion entry toll. When factoring in the necessary infrastructure and arena development, NHL Commissioner Gary Bettman previously estimated the total required investment at a breathtaking $3.5 billion.[2][3]

The cost of entering the NHL has skyrocketed, with the Texas franchise commanding a record $2 billion fee.

The man writing that check is Dan Friedkin, chairman and CEO of The Friedkin Group. With a net worth north of $6 billion and a sports portfolio that already includes European soccer clubs AS Roma and Everton, Friedkin brings the exact profile the NHL craves: deep pockets, global sports operational experience, and a relentless drive to win.[4]

While the framework is set, the final battleground remains undecided. The Friedkin Group holds the exclusive rights to bring a team to Texas, but they are currently weighing two distinct markets: Houston and Austin. Houston, the fourth-largest metropolitan market in the United States, has long been the NHL's white whale. It boasts a massive corporate base, a top-tier television market, and a rich, albeit dormant, hockey history dating back to the minor-league Aeros.[4]

"As we began those discussions, it was focused on Houston," Daly explained. "As we progressed, the alternative to Austin was raised, and certainly I think our ownership group is willing to consider the benefits of expansion at Austin, although I still think the priority is probably Houston."[1]

The primary hurdle in Houston is real estate. The Toyota Center, home to the NBA's Rockets, is controlled by owner Tilman Fertitta, who has his own NHL ambitions and a lease that complicates competing arena projects downtown. To make Houston work, Friedkin's group will likely need to construct a state-of-the-art facility from scratch—a massive undertaking that requires navigating local politics and securing premium land.[4]

Houston, the fourth-largest media market in the United States, remains the NHL's priority destination.

Austin offers a different, highly intoxicating allure. The booming tech hub is growing at a breakneck pace and currently hosts only one major professional sports team in MLS's Austin FC. However, an NHL franchise in the state capital would have to compete directly with the cultural behemoth that is University of Texas Longhorns athletics for corporate sponsorship and weekend entertainment dollars.[4]

Regardless of which city wins the sweepstakes, the arrival of a second Texas team guarantees an instant, blood-boiling rivalry with the Dallas Stars. The Stars have enjoyed a monopoly on NHL fandom in the state since relocating from Minnesota in 1993, building a passionate base that will undoubtedly relish a high-stakes intrastate turf war.[2]

The Texas expansion also forces the NHL to confront the awkward math of a 33-team league. Operating with an odd number of franchises creates scheduling headaches and divisional imbalances, meaning a 34th team is almost certainly on the horizon. Daly acknowledged that the league is already engaged in preliminary discussions with groups in Atlanta and Phoenix, two markets with complicated NHL histories but undeniable demographic appeal.[6]

A Texas expansion further cements the NHL's decades-long strategy of targeting the American Sun Belt.

Noticeably absent from the NHL's immediate growth strategy is a return to Canada. Despite passionate pleas from markets like Quebec City, which boasts a modern, NHL-ready arena in the Centre Videotron, the league's front office remains laser-focused on the American Sun Belt.[2]

"I'd say the interest in terms of owning and operating a franchise in Canada is less vibrant than it is for some markets in the United States," Daly noted bluntly, citing a lack of prospective ownership groups willing to meet the league's soaring financial demands. For now, the NHL's compass points firmly south.[2]

The addition of a 33rd team will force the NHL to eventually seek a 34th franchise to balance the schedule.

The next critical checkpoint arrives in September, when the NHL and The Friedkin Group will reconvene to review arena logistics and finalize the remaining details. If those meetings prove fruitful, the NHL Board of Governors could rubber-stamp the expansion by the end of the year, officially starting the clock on the 2029-30 puck drop.[3]

Key points

  • The NHL is finalizing an agreement with billionaire Dan Friedkin to bring a 33rd franchise to Texas.
  • The league is targeting a December announcement, with the team projected to begin play in the 2029-30 season.
  • The expansion fee is set at a record $2 billion, with total infrastructure costs expected to reach $3.5 billion.
  • Houston remains the priority market for the league, though Austin is still being evaluated as a viable alternative.

What we don’t know

  • Whether the Friedkin Group will ultimately choose Houston or Austin as the official home of the franchise.
  • How the ownership group plans to navigate the arena situation in Houston, given Tilman Fertitta's control of the Toyota Center.
  • Which city the NHL will target for its inevitable 34th franchise to balance the conferences.

How we got here

  1. 1993

    The Minnesota North Stars relocate to Dallas, establishing the NHL's first footprint in Texas.

  2. 2013

    The AHL's Houston Aeros relocate to Iowa after a lease dispute at the Toyota Center, leaving Houston without professional hockey.

  3. 2021

    The Seattle Kraken begin play as the NHL's 32nd franchise after paying a $650 million expansion fee.

  4. June 2026

    The NHL announces an exclusive agreement with Dan Friedkin to explore bringing a 33rd franchise to Texas.

  5. August 2026

    Deputy Commissioner Bill Daly confirms the league is targeting a December agreement for a 2029-30 debut.

League Executives 40%Texas Sports Business 35%Traditionalists & Skeptics 25%
League Executives
Focused on maximizing franchise valuations and expanding the sport's footprint in massive, untapped American media markets.
Texas Sports Business
Eager to capitalize on the state's booming economy and corporate wealth by securing a new major professional sports anchor.
Traditionalists & Skeptics
Concerned about the dilution of talent and frustrated by the league's continued dismissal of proven, hockey-mad Canadian markets.

Perspectives this story doesn't cover

  • Local taxpayers in Houston and Austin who may be asked to subsidize arena infrastructure.
  • Existing Dallas Stars executives navigating the sudden arrival of an intrastate rival.

Sources

Source coverage

7 outlets

3 viewpoints surfaced

League Executives 40%Texas Sports Business 35%Traditionalists & Skeptics 25%
  1. [1]SportsnetLeague Executives

    Report: Deputy commissioner Bill Daly says 33rd team could join NHL by 2029-30

    Read on Sportsnet →
  2. [2]theScoreLeague Executives

    NHL eyes 2029-30 debut for expansion team in Houston or Austin

    Read on theScore →
  3. [3]Daily FaceoffLeague Executives

    Daly: NHL expansion to Houston, Austin could come by 2029-30

    Read on Daily Faceoff →
  4. [4]Houston ChronicleTexas Sports Business

    Why Houston's bid for an NHL expansion team is different behind Dan Friedkin's 'persistent approach'

    Read on Houston Chronicle →
  5. [5]YardbarkerTraditionalists & Skeptics

    NHL Eyeing 2029-30 For Texas-Based Expansion Team To Debut

    Read on Yardbarker →
  6. [6]Front Office SportsTraditionalists & Skeptics

    NHL Expansion Heating Up Across Multiple Markets

    Read on Front Office Sports →
  7. [7]MarkerzoneTraditionalists & Skeptics

    NHL expansion is now confirmed by Bill Daly and he opens up about a new Canadian team

    Read on Markerzone →
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