EFL Championship · Matchday 10

Queens Park Rangers v Derby County

Wed, 14 Oct 2026 18:45:00 UTCMATRADE Loftus RoadMatchday 10

Pre-match win probability — Pulse estimate

Queens Park Rangers 50%Draw 27%Derby County 23%

Pulse model at kickoff, scaled by each side's scoring rate in this competition's own table. An estimate, not a betting market.

Match stats

Queens Park RangersDerby County
48Possession52
1.6Expected goals (xG)0.92
9Shots15
7Shots on target6
2Shots off target5
0Blocked shots4
6Shots inside box13
3Shots outside box2
1Corners3
0Offsides2
10Fouls10
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
5Saves3
439Passes463
362Accurate passes365

Match events

  • 12′Sondre Langås ← Ryan Nyambe
  • 18′Alfie Lloyd (assist Boy Kemper)
  • 22′Nicolas Madsen · penalty
  • 24′David Ozoh
  • 44′Sammie Szmodics
  • 45′Harvey Vale
  • 45′David Ozoh ← Lewis Travis
  • 45′Mohammed Fuseini ← Henrik Wendel Meister
  • 56′Henrik Wendel Meister
  • 57′Harvey Vale
  • 60′Glen Kamara
  • 62′Rayan Kolli → Richard Kone
  • 62′Alfie Lloyd → Jonathan Varane
  • 62′Harvey Vale → Kwame Poku
  • 63′Carlton Morris ← Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
  • 68′Paul Smyth (assist Nicolas Madsen)
  • 70′Sammie Szmodics ← Filip Bilbija
  • 72′Boy Kemper → Amadou Mbengue
  • 77′Paul Smyth
  • 90′Lars-Jørgen Salvesen

Queens Park Rangers · Derby County

Starting XI · as it played — Ratings are a Pulse estimate

Queens Park Rangers2-5-3
186.5Kamara
36.8Dunne
117.8↓77'Smyth
127.5↓72'Kemper
248.6Madsen
56.8Edwards
207.5↓62'Vale
16.8Charles
26.8Adamson
266.8↓62'Kolli
157.8↓62'Lloyd
Derby County2-5-3
206.3Mowatt
96.3↓63'Morris
266.3Hedges
315.7Vickers
116.0↓70'Szmodics
236.3Ward
286.3Sanderson
166.3↓45'Fuseini
86.3Clark
46.0↓45'Ozoh
66.3↓12'Langås

Lineups — ratings are a Pulse estimate

Queens Park Rangers

  • 18Glen Kamara6.5
  • 3Jimmy Dunne6.8
  • 11Paul Smyth7.8
  • 12Boy Kemper7.5
  • 24Nicolas Madsen8.6
  • 5Ronnie Edwards6.8
  • 20Harvey Vale7.5
  • 1Pierce Charles6.8
  • 2Kealey Adamson6.8
  • 26Rayan Kolli6.8
  • 15Alfie Lloyd7.8

Derby County

  • 20Alex Mowatt6.3
  • 9Carlton Morris6.3
  • 26Ryan Hedges6.3
  • 31Josh Vickers5.7
  • 11Sammie Szmodics6.0
  • 23Joe Ward6.3
  • 28Dion Sanderson6.3
  • 16Mohammed Fuseini6.3
  • 8Bobby Clark6.3
  • 4David Ozoh6.0
  • 6Sondre Langås6.3
Queens Park RangersTale of the tapeDerby County
2-5-3Formation2-5-3
17 ptsTable6 pts
+3Goal difference-11
DDDDLFormDDLLL
0Head-to-head wins2
50%Win chance23%

Head to head — 2 previous meetings

Queens Park Rangers 0W0D2W Derby County

Goals 2–4

  • 2026-04-25Queens Park Rangers2–3Derby County
  • 2025-10-25Derby County1–0Queens Park Rangers

Seasons searched: 2025-2026, 2026-2027.

Recent form — Last five, before this fixture

Queens Park Rangers

DDDDL
  • @West Ham United1-1
  • vsPreston North End2-2
  • @West Bromwich Albion1-1
  • @Charlton Athletic0-0
  • vsMiddlesbrough0-1

Derby County

DDLLL
  • vsWrexham1-1
  • @Burnley1-1
  • vsBirmingham City1-2
  • vsWest Bromwich Albion0-1
  • @West Ham United0-3

This season — other meeting

Where they stand — In a 24-team table

TeamPWDLGDPts
Queens Park Rangers11452+317
Derby County11137-116

Related coverage — from the newsroom