Turkey v Italy

FULL TIME1 – 4

Mon, 28 Sep 2026 18:45:00 UTCMatchday 2

Pre-game analysis— full article

Can Turkey Finally Break Their Winless Curse Against Italy in Nations League Clash?

Vincenzo Montella's Turkey hosts Roberto Mancini's revamped Italy in Bursa, with both sides desperate for a win after opening-round defeats in Group A1.

6 cited sources · Sep 28 · Read the article →

Pre-match win probability — Pulse estimate

Turkey 39%Draw 34%Italy 27%

Pulse model at kickoff, scaled by each side's scoring rate in this competition's own table. An estimate, not a betting market.

Match stats

TurkeyItaly

54Possession46

15Shots14

3Shots on target8

7Shots off target4

5Blocked shots2

6Shots inside box12

9Shots outside box2

6Corners2

1Offsides2

12Fouls21

3Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

4Saves2

571Passes497

491Accurate passes423

Match events

9′Alessandro Bastoni
22′Davide Frattesi
27′Michael Kayode (assist Francesco Esposito)
38′Can Uzun
45′Giacomo Raspadori ← Nicolò Cambiaghi
45′Merih Demiral → Abdülkerim Bardakcı
45′Can Uzun → Kerem Aktürkoğlu
45′Orkun Kökçü → İsmail Yüksek
47′Barış Alper Yılmaz (assist Oğuz Aydın)
50′Francesco Esposito
54′Barış Alper Yılmaz
63′Sebastiano Esposito ← Issa Doumbia
72′Ozan Kabak
75′Francesco Esposito ← Gianluca Scamacca
76′Nicolò Fagioli ← Alessandro Romano
76′Salih Özcan → Ege Tıknaz
80′Barış Alper Yılmaz → Deniz Gül
82′Davide Frattesi ← Giovanni Di Lorenzo

Turkey · Italy

Starting XI · as it played — Ratings are a Pulse estimate

Turkey4-4-2

36.3↓45'Demiral

26.3Çelik

156.0Kabak

66.3↓45'Kökçü

56.3↓76'Özcan

15.7Bayındır

106.3Güler

136.3Elmalı

217.0↓80'Yılmaz

187.1Aydın

116.0↓45'Uzun

Italy3-4-3

16.8Donnarumma

86.8Tonali

236.8↓63'Esposito

217.8Bastoni

106.8↓45'Raspadori

36.8Ruggeri

167.8↓82'Frattesi

66.8↓76'Fagioli

196.8Scalvini

27.8Kayode

78.6↓75'Esposito

Lineups — ratings are a Pulse estimate

Turkey

3Merih Demiral6.3
2Zeki Çelik6.3
15Ozan Kabak6.0
6Orkun Kökçü6.3
5Salih Özcan6.3
1Altay Bayındır5.7
10Arda Güler6.3
13Eren Elmalı6.3
21Barış Alper Yılmaz7.0
18Oğuz Aydın7.1
11Can Uzun6.0

Italy

1Gianluigi Donnarumma6.8
8Sandro Tonali6.8
23Sebastiano Esposito6.8
21Alessandro Bastoni7.8
10Giacomo Raspadori6.8
3Matteo Ruggeri6.8
16Davide Frattesi7.8
6Nicolò Fagioli6.8
19Giorgio Scalvini6.8
2Michael Kayode7.8
7Francesco Esposito8.6

TurkeyTale of the tapeItaly

4-4-2Formation3-4-3

LWWLDFormLDLLW

39%Win chance27%

Head to head

First meeting

Turkey and Italy have not met in the seasons we hold. Seasons searched: 2024-2025, 2026-2027.

Recent form — Last five, before this fixture

Turkey

LWWLD

vsFrance0-1
@Hungary3-0
vsHungary3-1
@Montenegro1-3
vsWales0-0

Italy

LDLLW

vsBelgium0-2
@Germany3-3
vsGermany1-2
vsFrance1-3
@Belgium1-0

This season — other meeting

Italy3–1Turkey

Related coverage — from the newsroom