Yankees vs DodgersPre-Game PreviewJul 17, 2026, 4:30 PM· 4 min read· #13 of 13 in sports

Yankees and Dodgers Clash in Bronx Blockbuster to Open Second Half

The historic rivalry resumes at Yankee Stadium as Gerrit Cole and Roki Sasaki take the mound in a highly anticipated post-All-Star break showdown.

By Factlen Editorial Team

Yankees Supporters 35%Dodgers Supporters 35%Neutral Analysts 30%
Yankees Supporters
Confident that their power-hitting lineup can exploit Sasaki's fastball and capitalize on home-field advantage.
Dodgers Supporters
Relying on their league-best record and star-studded lineup to overpower New York's pitching.
Neutral Analysts
Anticipating a high-scoring affair given the recent struggles of both starting pitchers.

What's not represented

  • · Minor league prospects affected by trade deadline implications
  • · Umpire union representatives on strike zone consistency

Why this matters

This cross-country clash not only reignites one of baseball's most storied rivalries, but it also serves as a potential World Series preview between two star-studded rosters looking to set the tone for the second half of the season.

Key points

  • The New York Yankees and Los Angeles Dodgers open the second half of the MLB season with a three-game series in the Bronx.
  • Dodgers designated hitter Shohei Ohtani will not pitch in the series after undergoing a minor knee procedure.
  • Gerrit Cole takes the mound for the Yankees, looking to improve upon his 4.04 ERA against a potent Los Angeles lineup.
  • Roki Sasaki starts for the Dodgers, aiming to bounce back from a turbulent first half and a 6.25 road ERA.
61-36
Dodgers Record
54-42
Yankees Record
29
Ben Rice Home Runs
22
Shohei Ohtani Home Runs

The All-Star break is over, and Major League Baseball is wasting no time delivering a heavyweight bout. On Friday night, the New York Yankees host the Los Angeles Dodgers at Yankee Stadium, reigniting a historic rivalry that spans 71 World Series matchups.[1]

The Dodgers arrive in the Bronx boasting a formidable 61-36 record, sitting comfortably atop the National League West. The Yankees, at 54-42, are locked in a tight American League East race and are eager to make a statement against the league's top team.[1][2]

Momentum favors the home team heading into the weekend. The Yankees closed out the first half by sweeping the Washington Nationals, while the Dodgers stumbled, suffering a surprising home sweep at the hands of the Arizona Diamondbacks.[3]

Tale of the tape: Both teams enter the second half with strong winning records.
Tale of the tape: Both teams enter the second half with strong winning records.

The series opener features a fascinating pitching duel between two arms looking for a second-half reset. The Yankees will hand the ball to veteran ace Gerrit Cole, who brings a 3-4 record and a 4.04 ERA into his 10th start of the season.[2][5]

Cole has shown flashes of his Cy Young pedigree but has also been vulnerable to the long ball. In his last outing against the Tampa Bay Rays, he allowed three earned runs over 6 1/3 innings. Analysts note his 40.3% hard-hit rate makes him susceptible to a potent Dodgers lineup.[4][6]

Opposing Cole is Roki Sasaki, the 24-year-old Japanese phenom who has experienced a turbulent first half. Sasaki holds a 3-5 record with a 5.33 ERA and has struggled with loud contact, allowing a 12.8% barrel rate.[2][4]

Sasaki's road splits are particularly concerning for Los Angeles. He carries a 6.25 ERA away from Dodger Stadium, and his four-seam fastball has been frequently punished by opposing hitters.[5]

Sasaki's road splits are particularly concerning for Los Angeles.

The biggest storyline surrounding the Dodgers' rotation is the absence of Shohei Ohtani on the mound. Manager Dave Roberts confirmed that Ohtani will skip his pitching turn this weekend after undergoing a minor procedure to drain fluid from his knee.[3]

Shohei Ohtani will strictly serve as the designated hitter for this weekend's series.
Shohei Ohtani will strictly serve as the designated hitter for this weekend's series.

However, Ohtani remains a massive threat in the batter's box. Serving as the designated hitter, he leads Los Angeles with a .293 batting average, 22 home runs, and 58 RBIs, anchoring an offense that also features Freddie Freeman and Andy Pages.[2]

On the other side, the Yankees' offense has been surprisingly resilient despite injuries to key stars like Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton. The emergence of rookie Ben Rice has been a revelation for New York.[2]

Rice leads the team with a .279 average and an astounding 29 home runs. He has been particularly lethal at Yankee Stadium, boasting a .985 OPS at home, and will look to exploit Sasaki's fastball-heavy approach.[2][3]

Jasson Dominguez and Trent Grisham have also provided crucial depth for the Yankees. Grisham is batting .257 with two home runs over his last 10 games, helping New York average 3.1 extra-base hits per outing during that span.[6]

Game 1 features a compelling matchup between veteran Gerrit Cole and young phenom Roki Sasaki.
Game 1 features a compelling matchup between veteran Gerrit Cole and young phenom Roki Sasaki.

The tactical matchup heavily favors the offenses. The Yankees possess the highest barrel rate in baseball, making them uniquely equipped to handle Sasaki's velocity. Conversely, the Dodgers' disciplined approach could force Cole into high pitch counts early.[4]

Oddsmakers and analysts are bracing for a slugfest, with the over/under set at 9 runs. While the Dodgers are slight moneyline favorites, the tactical matchup presents a unique challenge for Los Angeles given Sasaki's road struggles and the Yankees' elite barrel rate.[2][4]

When it comes to a prediction, betting experts lean toward the Yankees edging out a high-scoring victory in Game 1. Cole's experience at home should allow him to navigate the Dodgers' lineup just enough to hand a lead to the bullpen, while New York's power hitters are primed to capitalize on Sasaki's vulnerable fastball. Regardless of the final score, this weekend's series offers a tantalizing glimpse of a potential October classic.[3][4]

How we got here

  1. July 14, 2026

    The MLB All-Star break begins, giving both teams a chance to rest and reset.

  2. July 16, 2026

    The Dodgers announce their weekend rotation, confirming Shohei Ohtani will not pitch against the Yankees.

  3. July 17, 2026

    Game 1 of the highly anticipated three-game series kicks off at Yankee Stadium.

Viewpoints in depth

Yankees' Tactical Path

Exploiting the fastball.

With Aaron Judge managing injuries, rookie sensation Ben Rice has anchored the Yankees' lineup. Analysts note that New York's hitters excel against four-seam fastballs, which aligns perfectly with Roki Sasaki's recent struggles. Sasaki has allowed a 12.8% barrel rate, giving the Yankees a clear path to early runs if they can elevate his pitches into the short porches of Yankee Stadium.

Dodgers' Offensive Engine

Overwhelming opposing starters.

Even without Shohei Ohtani on the mound, the Dodgers' lineup remains a terrifying prospect for any pitcher. Ohtani, Freddie Freeman, and Andy Pages have consistently punished elevated pitches. Gerrit Cole has surrendered a 40.3% hard-hit rate this season, meaning Los Angeles will look to jump on any mistakes left over the plate and turn the game into a track meet.

What we don't know

  • Whether Aaron Judge will make an appearance in the series following his recent injury management.
  • How Roki Sasaki will respond to the high-pressure environment of Yankee Stadium amid his recent struggles with hard contact.

Key terms

Barrel Rate
An advanced metric measuring how often a batter hits the ball with the ideal combination of exit velocity and launch angle.
Run Line
Baseball's version of a point spread, typically set at 1.5 runs, used in sports betting.
Hard-Hit Rate
The percentage of batted balls hit with an exit velocity of 95 mph or higher.

Frequently asked

Is Shohei Ohtani pitching in this series?

No, Ohtani is strictly serving as the designated hitter this weekend after undergoing a minor procedure to drain fluid from his knee.

Who are the starting pitchers for Game 1?

The Yankees are starting veteran ace Gerrit Cole, while the Dodgers are countering with Japanese right-hander Roki Sasaki.

How did both teams perform right before the All-Star break?

The Yankees swept the Washington Nationals, while the Dodgers were surprisingly swept at home by the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Sources

Source coverage

6 outlets

3 viewpoints surfaced

Yankees Supporters 35%Dodgers Supporters 35%Neutral Analysts 30%
  1. [1]MLB.comNeutral Analysts

    MLB Gameday: Dodgers at Yankees, Probable Pitchers, Lineups

    Read on MLB.com
  2. [2]FOX SportsDodgers Supporters

    Yankees host the Dodgers to begin 3-game series

    Read on FOX Sports
  3. [3]Sports IllustratedYankees Supporters

    Dodgers Pitching Probables vs Yankees: Shohei Ohtani Will Not Pitch

    Read on Sports Illustrated
  4. [4]CoversYankees Supporters

    Dodgers vs Yankees Prediction, Picks, and Odds

    Read on Covers
  5. [5]PickDawgzNeutral Analysts

    Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees Prediction 7/17/2026

    Read on PickDawgz
  6. [6]Bleacher NationDodgers Supporters

    Yankees vs. Dodgers Game Info & Probable Starters

    Read on Bleacher Nation
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