UEFA Conference League · Matchday 1
Lugano v Crvena Zvezda
- Thu, 15 Oct 2026 16:45:00 UTCAIL ArenaMatchday 1
Pre-match win probability — Pulse estimate
Lugano 60%Draw 19%Crvena Zvezda 21%
Pulse model at kickoff, scaled by each side's scoring rate in this competition's own table. One side has no scoring record here yet, so it uses the league average. An estimate, not a betting market.
Match stats
LuganoCrvena Zvezda
41Possession59
2.29Expected goals (xG)1.23
18Shots20
5Shots on target5
7Shots off target11
6Blocked shots4
8Shots inside box7
10Shots outside box13
5Corners3
2Offsides0
9Fouls11
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
3Saves2
384Passes545
329Accurate passes491
86Pass accuracy90
Match events
- 25′Albian Ajeti (assist Renato Steffen)
- 32′Timi Max Elšnik (assist Matej Gashtarov)
- 33′Vasilije Kostov
- 53′Renato Steffen
- 55′Lars Mai
- 63′Albian Ajeti → Kevin Behrens
- 63′Renato Steffen → Erik Pihlström
- 64′Tomás Händel ← Muhammed Cham Saračević
- 67′Rade Krunić (assist Muhammed Cham Saračević)
- 73′Bekhruz Karimov → Dereck Moncada
- 75′Mihailo Ristić
- 75′Vladimir Lučić ← Kristiyan Balov
- 79′Hannes Delcroix → Ezgjan Alioski
- 79′Daniel Dos Santos Correia → Beckham Castro Espinosa
- 81′Rade Krunić ← Mahmudu Bajo
- 81′Bamba Dieng ← Marko Arnautović
- 82′Stefan Gudelj
- 84′Dereck Moncada (assist Yanis Cimignani)
- 88′Mahmudu Bajo
- 89′Anto Grgić · penalty
- 90′Matej Gashtarov
Lugano · Crvena Zvezda
Starting XI · as it played — Ratings are a Pulse estimate
Lugano97.8↓63'Ajeti
117.2↓63'Steffen
36.8↓79'Delcroix
176.5Mai
217.5Cimignani
166.5Ballmoos
66.8Papadopoulos
256.8Bislimi
87.8Grgić
276.8↓79'Correia
26.8↓73'Karimov
Crvena Zvezda15.9Magalhaes
337.3↓81'Krunić
36.3Nakayama
236.3↓75'Ristić
96.3↓81'Dieng
217.3Elšnik
206.3↓64'Händel
376.3↓75'Lučić
226.0Kostov
606.8Gashtarov
456.0Gudelj
Lineups — ratings are a Pulse estimate
Lugano
- 9Albian Ajeti7.8
- 11Renato Steffen7.2
- 3Hannes Delcroix6.8
- 17Lars Mai6.5
- 21Yanis Cimignani7.5
- 16David Ballmoos6.5
- 6Antonios Papadopoulos6.8
- 25Uran Bislimi6.8
- 8Anto Grgić7.8
- 27Daniel Dos Santos Correia6.8
- 2Bekhruz Karimov6.8
Crvena Zvezda
- 1Matheus Magalhaes5.9
- 33Rade Krunić7.3
- 3Yuta Nakayama6.3
- 23Mihailo Ristić6.3
- 9Bamba Dieng6.3
- 21Timi Max Elšnik7.3
- 20Tomás Händel6.3
- 37Vladimir Lučić6.3
- 22Vasilije Kostov6.0
- 60Matej Gashtarov6.8
- 45Stefan Gudelj6.0
LuganoTale of the tapeCrvena Zvezda
3-5-2Formation3-5-2
0 WTable0 W
+0Goal difference+0
DWDWWForm—
60%Win chance (one side estimated)21%
Head to head
First meeting
Lugano and Crvena Zvezda have not met in the seasons we hold. Seasons searched: 2025-2026, 2026-2027.
Recent form — Last five, before this fixture
Lugano
DWDWW- @Maccabi Tel Aviv1-1
- vsMaccabi Tel Aviv2-1
- @NSÍ Runavík2-2
- vsNSÍ Runavík2-0
- @Dukagjini5-1
Crvena Zvezda
No earlier results in the seasons we hold.
Where they stand — In a 36-team table
| Team | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 |
| Crvena Zvezda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 |
