Roma v Real Madrid — UEFA Champions League

Pre-match win probability — Pulse estimate

Roma 23%Draw 22%Real Madrid 55%

Pulse model at kickoff, scaled by each side's scoring rate in this competition's own table. An estimate, not a betting market.

Match stats

RomaReal Madrid

54Possession46

1.51Expected goals (xG)1.89

14Shots16

7Shots on target8

4Shots off target8

3Blocked shots0

9Shots inside box11

5Shots outside box5

5Corners9

1Offsides1

15Fouls8

3Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

4Saves4

546Passes459

471Accurate passes385

Match events

17′Manu Koné → Niccolò Pisilli
20′Marten de Roon (assist Matías Soulé)
25′Kylian Mbappé (assist Yan Diomande)
45′Paulo Dybala → Rodrigo Mora
51′Donyell Malen (assist Rodrigo Mora)
57′Donyell Malen (assist Matías Soulé)
58′Donyell Malen · VAR
59′Vinícius Júnior ← Endrick
59′Denzel Dumfries ← Arda Güler
60′Gianluca Mancini
63′Matías Soulé → Lorenzo Pellegrini
63′Gianluca Mancini → Leonardo Balerdi
69′Wesley
70′Aurélien Tchouaméni ← Bernardo Silva
78′Marc Cucurella ← Álvaro Carreras
78′Yan Diomande ← Carlos Espí
81′Mario Hermoso → Konstantinos Koulierakis
83′Carlos Espí
83′Carlos Espí · VAR
85′Endrick (assist Arda Güler)
89′Lorenzo Pellegrini
90′Antonio Rüdiger (assist Arda Güler)
90′Álvaro Carreras

Roma · Real Madrid

Starting XI · as it played — Ratings are a Pulse estimate

Roma5-2-3

955.7Gollini

216.3↓45'Dybala

236.0↓63'Mancini

157.3Roon

148.4Malen

226.3↓81'Hermoso

56.3Ndicka

206.3Molina

176.3↓17'Koné

187.9↓63'Soulé

436.0Wesley

Real Madrid4-3-3

16.3Courtois

227.8Rüdiger

76.8↓59'Júnior

107.8Mbappé

166.8Konaté

246.8↓59'Dumfries

86.8Valverde

146.8↓70'Tchouaméni

176.8↓78'Cucurella

56.8Bellingham

257.5↓78'Diomande

Lineups — ratings are a Pulse estimate

Roma

95Pierluigi Gollini5.7
21Paulo Dybala6.3
23Gianluca Mancini6.0
15Marten de Roon7.3
14Donyell Malen8.4
22Mario Hermoso6.3
5Evan Ndicka6.3
20Nahuel Molina6.3
17Manu Koné6.3
18Matías Soulé7.9
43Wesley6.0

Real Madrid

1Thibaut Courtois6.3
22Antonio Rüdiger7.8
7Vinícius Júnior6.8
10Kylian Mbappé7.8
16Ibrahima Konaté6.8
24Denzel Dumfries6.8
8Federico Valverde6.8
14Aurélien Tchouaméni6.8
17Marc Cucurella6.8
5Jude Bellingham6.8
25Yan Diomande7.5

RomaTale of the tapeReal Madrid

5-2-3Formation4-3-3

1 ptsTable3 pts

+0Goal difference+1

DFormWLLWW

23%Win chance55%

Head to head

First meeting

Roma and Real Madrid have not met in the seasons we hold. Seasons searched: 2025-2026, 2026-2027.

Recent form — Last five, before this fixture

Roma

D

@Fenerbahçe1-1

Real Madrid

WLLWW

vsInter Milan2-1
@Bayern Munich3-4
vsBayern Munich1-2
@Manchester City2-1
vsManchester City3-0

Where they stand — In a 36-team table

Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3

Related coverage — from the newsroom