Real Madrid v Villarreal — La Liga

Highlights

Pre-match win probability — Pulse estimate

Real Madrid 50%Draw 20%Villarreal 31%

Pulse model at kickoff, scaled by each side's scoring rate in this competition's own table. An estimate, not a betting market.

Match stats

Real MadridVillarreal

46Possession54

1.47Expected goals (xG)0.62

11Shots15

4Shots on target4

4Shots off target7

3Blocked shots4

9Shots inside box7

2Shots outside box8

9Corners3

3Offsides1

8Fouls13

5Yellow cards2

1Red cards0

4Saves3

406Passes478

338Accurate passes423

Match events

10′Renato Veiga
19′Jude Bellingham
45′Álvaro Carreras → Marc Cucurella
52′Trent Alexander-Arnold → Vinícius Júnior
56′Santi Comesaña ← Nathan Saliba
56′Juan Marcos Foyth ← Carlos Romero
62′Yan Diomande (assist Federico Valverde)
63′Yan Diomande · VAR
67′Ilias Akhomach ← Gerard Moreno
67′Sergi Cardona ← Georges Mikautadze
68′Sergi Cardona
72′Vinícius Júnior · VAR
72′Vinícius Júnior
77′Arda Güler → Eduardo Camavinga
81′Ibrahima Konaté
83′Antonio Rüdiger
84′Pau Navarro
86′Yan Diomande → Denzel Dumfries
86′Alberto Moleiro
87′Aurélien Tchouaméni
90′Kylian Mbappé

Real Madrid · Villarreal

Starting XI · as it played — Ratings are a Pulse estimate

Real Madrid4-4-2

17.3Courtois

226.9Rüdiger

127.2↓52'Alexander-Arnold

106.5Mbappé

166.9Konaté

87.5Valverde

146.5Tchouaméni

56.5Bellingham

156.8↓77'Güler

187.2↓45'Carreras

257.8↓86'Diomande

Villarreal5-3-2

226.3Pérez

86.3↓56'Foyth

256.3Gulacsi

186.3Gueye

146.3↓56'Comesaña

116.3↓67'Akhomach

36.3Freeman

126.0Veiga

236.0↓67'Cardona

106.3↓86'Moleiro

66.0Navarro

Lineups — ratings are a Pulse estimate

Real Madrid

1Thibaut Courtois7.3
22Antonio Rüdiger6.9
12Trent Alexander-Arnold7.2
10Kylian Mbappé6.5
16Ibrahima Konaté6.9
8Federico Valverde7.5
14Aurélien Tchouaméni6.5
5Jude Bellingham6.5
15Arda Güler6.8
18Álvaro Carreras7.2
25Yan Diomande7.8

Villarreal

22Ayoze Pérez6.3
8Juan Marcos Foyth6.3
25Peter Gulacsi6.3
18Pape Gueye6.3
14Santi Comesaña6.3
11Ilias Akhomach6.3
3Alex Freeman6.3
12Renato Veiga6.0
23Sergi Cardona6.0
10Alberto Moleiro6.3
6Pau Navarro6.0

Real MadridTale of the tapeVillarreal

4-4-2Formation5-3-2

21 ptsTable9 pts

+14Goal difference+0

LWWLWFormWWLLL

2Head-to-head wins0

50%Win chance31%

Head to head — 2 previous meetings

Real Madrid 2W0D0W Villarreal

Goals 5–1

2026-01-24Villarreal CF0–2Real Madrid CF
2025-10-04Real Madrid CF3–1Villarreal CF

Seasons searched: 2025, 2026.

Recent form — Last five, before this fixture

Real Madrid

LWWLW

@Atletico Madrid1-2
@Elche3-2
vsRayo Vallecano4-1
@Real Betis0-1
vsMalaga4-0

Villarreal

WWLLL

vsLevante3-1
@Malaga3-1
vsReal Betis1-2
vsDeportivo La Coruna2-3
@Alaves0-1

This season — other meeting

VillarrealvReal Madrid

Where they stand — In a 20-team table

Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
Real Madrid	9	7	0	2	+14	21
Villarreal	9	2	3	4	+0	9

Related coverage — from the newsroom