Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest
Updated
Aston Villa
1 – 2
Nottingham Forest
Venue: Villa Park
Competition: Premier League
Next meeting: Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa · Saturday, March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) · Premier League
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Match centre
Pre-match win probability
Model estimate made before kick-off
- Aston Villa
- 39%
- Draw
- 34%
- Nottingham Forest
- 27%
Match stats
- 53Possession47
- 7Shots22
- 5Shots on target7
- 1Shots off target12
- 1Blocked shots3
- 6Shots inside box14
- 1Shots outside box8
- 6Corners1
- 0Offsides4
- 11Fouls16
- 2Yellow cards5
- 0Red cards0
- 5Saves5
- 418Passes360
- 344Accurate passes309
Match events
- 25′Substitution · Pau Torres (Tyrone Mings) — Aston Villa
- 43′Yellow card · Dan Ndoye — Nottingham Forest
- 45′Yellow card · Nicolas Jackson — Aston Villa
- 45′Yellow card · Murillo — Nottingham Forest
- 45′Substitution · Nicolas Jackson (Tammy Abraham) — Aston Villa
- 45′Substitution · George Hemmings (Alysson) — Aston Villa
- 46′Goal · Liam Delap (Murillo) — Nottingham Forest
- 56′Yellow card · Xaver Schlager — Nottingham Forest
- 63′Substitution · Emi Buendía (Ibrahim Mbaye) — Aston Villa
- 63′Substitution · Ross Barkley (Johan Manzambi) — Aston Villa
- 74′Goal · Alysson (John McGinn) — Aston Villa
- 74′Yellow card · Liam Delap — Nottingham Forest
- 75′Substitution · Dan Ndoye (Igor Jesus) — Nottingham Forest
- 80′Yellow card · James McAtee — Nottingham Forest
- 82′Substitution · James McAtee (Ibrahim Sangaré) — Nottingham Forest
- 88′Goal · Igor Jesus (Morgan Gibbs-White) — Nottingham Forest
- 90′Substitution · Liam Delap (Chris Wood) — Nottingham Forest
- 90′Yellow card · Tyrone Mings — Aston Villa
Starting line-ups
Recent form
Aston Villa
- D0-0
- L0-1
- L0-4
- W2-1
- W4-2
Nottingham Forest
- D0-0
- D2-2
- L0-1
- D1-1
- L2-3
Premier League
The table as it stands now, not on the day of the match
| # | P | W | D | L | GD | PTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 |
AIMatch report
Igor Jesus Strikes Late as Nottingham Forest Stun 10-Man Aston Villa 2-1
Nottingham Forest secured their first Premier League win of the season with an 88th-minute winner from Igor Jesus, overcoming a depleted Aston Villa side at Villa Park.
- 88th
- Minute of Igor Jesus's winning goal
- £45m
- Transfer fee paid for Liam Delap
- 1.92
- Forest's Expected Goals (xG)
- 12
- Consecutive away matches with a Forest goal
Key points
- Nottingham Forest defeated Aston Villa 2-1 to secure their first Premier League victory of the 2026 season.
- Liam Delap opened the scoring for Forest just 45 seconds into the second half with a 25-yard strike.
- Aston Villa equalized through Alysson but were reduced to 10 men late in the game due to an injury to Ian Maatsen.
- Igor Jesus slotted home the 88th-minute winner to give Forest their first victory at Villa Park since 1994.
- Forest manager Oliver Glasner remains unbeaten in eight career managerial meetings against Unai Emery.
The curse of Villa Park is finally broken. For the first time since 1994, Nottingham Forest walked out of Birmingham with all three points, stunning Aston Villa 2-1 on Saturday afternoon in a match defined by its frantic, breathless finish. Igor Jesus slotted home an 88th-minute winner to secure Oliver Glasner’s first Premier League victory of the 2026 campaign, leaving Unai Emery’s side rooted in the bottom three and still desperately searching for their first domestic win.
The result flips the script on a fixture that has historically tormented the Tricky Trees, who arrived in the West Midlands having failed to win on their previous six top-flight visits and carrying the weight of last season's heavy 4-0 Europa League semi-final defeat in this exact stadium.[1][2]
The decisive moment arrived just as Villa appeared to be seizing control of the tempo. With the clock ticking down and the hosts pushing hard for a winner of their own in front of an expectant home crowd, Forest executed a devastating, clinical counter-attack. Wing-back Daniel Muñoz, making his first start of the season in Glasner's preferred 3-4-3 system, sparked the move down the flank.
He fed the ball into Morgan Gibbs-White, who unlocked the retreating defense with an exquisite, perfectly weighted backheel. Igor Jesus read the sequence flawlessly, surging into the box and meeting the pass with a tidy first-time finish that completely silenced the Holte End and sent the traveling supporters into absolute delirium.[3][4]
It was a brutal, unforgiving conclusion for an Aston Villa side that had been forced to navigate the final ten minutes with a severe numerical disadvantage. In the 80th minute, left-back Ian Maatsen went down under a heavy challenge and hobbled off the pitch with a significant knock.
Because Unai Emery had already exhausted his allotted substitutions—having previously introduced the likes of Ibrahim Mbaye and Johan Manzambi for their Premier League debuts in an attempt to inject fresh energy—Villa had no choice but to survive the closing stages with ten men. Forest smelled blood in the water, and they ruthlessly exploited the extra space on the flanks to orchestrate the match-winning sequence.[1][3]
The late drama stood in stark contrast to a chaotic, breathless opening period that somehow failed to produce a goal despite multiple point-blank opportunities. In the sixth minute, Villa orchestrated an unbelievable goal-line scramble that seemingly defied physics. Emiliano Buendía whipped a dangerous cross into the box, finding Victor Lindelöf in space.
The Swedish defender’s initial shot ricocheted off Murillo’s leg and was miraculously clawed away by Matz Sels. The Belgian goalkeeper’s desperate parry pushed the ball onto the post, and Murillo’s subsequent panicked clearance smashed straight back into Lindelöf’s face, forcing Sels into a second instinctive, point-blank reflex stop to keep the match scoreless.[2][3]
While none of the initial match reports carried direct post-match quotes from either manager, leaving their immediate reactions to the chaotic final minutes unrecorded, the tactical reality on the pitch spoke volumes about Glasner's setup. Forest absorbed Villa's early pressure and struck with lethal precision the moment the second half began.
Just 45 seconds after the restart, club-record £45 million signing Liam Delap announced his arrival in spectacular fashion. The 23-year-old former Chelsea striker, brought in specifically to lead the line in Glasner's system, collected the ball in space and unleashed a thunderous 25-yard strike that gave Zion Suzuki absolutely no chance, instantly validating his massive summer transfer fee.[1][2][3]
Villa briefly found a lifeline in the 74th minute, showcasing the resilience that defined their European campaign last year. John McGinn delivered an inviting, curling cross from the flank, and half-time substitute Alysson rose highest in the penalty area to glance a textbook header past Sels.
The equalizer marked Villa's first Premier League goal of the season and briefly threatened to turn the tide of the match entirely, especially coming just days after their morale-boosting Champions League victory over Club Brugge. For a fleeting ten-minute window, the momentum sat squarely with the hosts before Maatsen's injury derailed their structural integrity.[1][2]
Yet the underlying metrics show that Forest were entirely deserving of their historic away win, dominating the statistical battle from start to finish. Glasner’s system generated a highly impressive 1.92 expected goals (xG) from a staggering 22 shots, repeatedly slicing through Villa’s high defensive line with rapid vertical transitions.
In sharp contrast, the hosts managed a modest 0.82 xG from just seven total attempts across the full ninety minutes. The victory also extends Forest’s remarkable streak of scoring in 12 consecutive Premier League away matches, matching a legendary club record previously set between February and October of 1995.[2][3]
For Unai Emery, the defeat deepens a turbulent domestic start following a summer of heavy squad turnover and high-profile departures. The Spanish manager hooked record signing Nicolas Jackson early in the second half, searching for a spark that only briefly materialized before fading away.
Meanwhile, Oliver Glasner continues to hold a distinct, almost inexplicable psychological edge in this specific managerial rivalry; the Austrian tactician is now unbeaten in eight career meetings against Emery, cementing a tactical blueprint that consistently thrives on transition, width, and late-game stamina. Forest look upward with renewed confidence, while Villa face a grueling week of tactical introspection.[1][4]
Timeline
- August 2026Nottingham Forest break their club transfer record to sign striker Liam Delap from Chelsea for £45 million.
- September 12, 2026 - 6'Forest goalkeeper Matz Sels makes a miraculous double save to deny Victor Lindelöf during a chaotic goal-line scramble.
- September 12, 2026 - 46'Liam Delap opens the scoring for Forest just 45 seconds into the second half with a 25-yard strike.
- September 12, 2026 - 74'Substitute Alysson heads in John McGinn's cross to score Aston Villa's first league goal of the season.
- September 12, 2026 - 88'Igor Jesus slots home the winner to secure a 2-1 victory for Nottingham Forest.
Viewpoints
- Nottingham Forest Camp · 40%Thrilled by the historic away victory, the immediate impact of record-signing Liam Delap, and Oliver Glasner's tactical execution.
- Aston Villa Camp · 35%Frustrated by the team's winless domestic start, missed early chances, and the bad luck of finishing the match with ten men due to injury.
- Neutral Analysts · 25%Focused on the stark contrast in expected goals and Glasner's continued tactical dominance over Unai Emery.
Head-to-head record
- Aston Villa
- 2
- Draws
- 1
- Nottingham Forest
- 2
Goals / points: 9–5
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest
Since
Last meetings
- Sep 12, 2026 · Premier LeagueAston Villa 1–2 Nottingham Forest
- May 7, 2026 · UEFA Europa LeagueAston Villa 4–0 Nottingham Forest
- Apr 30, 2026 · UEFA Europa LeagueAston Villa 0–1 Nottingham Forest
- Apr 12, 2026 · Premier LeagueAston Villa 1–1 Nottingham Forest
- Jan 3, 2026 · Premier LeagueAston Villa 3–1 Nottingham Forest
Past meetings
Aston Villa 4–0 Nottingham Forest
Venue: Villa Park
Nottingham Forest 1–0 Aston Villa
Venue: City Ground
Nottingham Forest 1–1 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 3–1 Nottingham Forest

