EFL Championship · Matchday 38

Derby County v Middlesbrough

Tue, 16 Mar 2027 19:45:00 UTCPride Park StadiumMatchday 38

Win probability — Pulse estimate

Derby County 19%Draw 21%Middlesbrough 60%

Pulse model at kickoff, scaled by each side's scoring rate in this competition's own table. An estimate, not a betting market.

Derby CountyTale of the tapeMiddlesbrough
6 ptsTable22 pts
-11Goal difference+6
LLDDLFormDWWDD
1Head-to-head wins1
19%Win chance60%

Head to head — 2 previous meetings

Derby County 1W0D1W Middlesbrough

Goals 2–2

  • 2026-01-01Derby County1–0Middlesbrough
  • 2025-11-29Middlesbrough2–1Derby County

Seasons searched: 2025-2026, 2026-2027.

Recent form — Last five, before this fixture

Derby County

LLDDL
  • vsStoke City0-1
  • @Queens Park Rangers1-4
  • vsWrexham1-1
  • @Burnley1-1
  • vsBirmingham City1-2

Middlesbrough

DWWDD
  • vsCardiff City2-2
  • @Stoke City3-2
  • vsWolverhampton Wanderers1-0
  • @Birmingham City2-2
  • vsMillwall2-2

This season — other meeting

Where they stand — In a 24-team table

TeamPWDLGDPts
Derby County11137-116
Middlesbrough11641+622