EFL Championship · Matchday 38

Tue, 16 Mar 2027 19:45:00 UTCPride Park StadiumMatchday 38

Win probability — Pulse estimate

Derby County 39%Draw 34%Middlesbrough 27%

Pulse model at kickoff, scaled by each side's scoring rate in this competition's own table. An estimate, not a betting market.

Derby CountyTale of the tapeMiddlesbrough
4 ptsTable10 pts
-5Goal difference+3
LWLDLFormWDWLW
1Head-to-head wins1
39%Pre-match odds27%

Head to head2 previous meetings

Derby County 1W0D1W Middlesbrough

Goals 22

  • 2026-01-01Derby County10Middlesbrough
  • 2025-11-29Middlesbrough21Derby County

Seasons searched: 2025-2026, 2026-2027.

Recent formLast five, before this fixture

Derby County

LWLDL
  • @West Ham United0-3
  • @Portsmouth2-0
  • vsSwansea City0-3
  • vsCardiff City2-2
  • @Charlton Athletic1-2

Middlesbrough

WDWLW
  • @Queens Park Rangers1-0
  • @Burnley1-1
  • vsWest Bromwich Albion3-1
  • @Blackburn Rovers1-2
  • vsLincoln City2-1

This seasonother meeting

Where they standIn a 24-team table

TeamPWDLGDPts
Derby County5113-54
Middlesbrough5311+310
Derby County v Middlesbrough — EFL Championship | Factlen