EFL Championship · Matchday 11

Derby County v Stoke City

Derby County
FULL TIME0 – 1
Stoke City
Sat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00:00 UTCPride Park StadiumMatchday 11

Pre-match win probability — Pulse estimate

Derby County 25%Draw 24%Stoke City 51%

Pulse model at kickoff, scaled by each side's scoring rate in this competition's own table. An estimate, not a betting market.

Match stats

Derby CountyStoke City
53Possession47
1.07Expected goals (xG)0.62
17Shots12
3Shots on target4
4Shots off target5
10Blocked shots3
14Shots inside box3
3Shots outside box9
7Corners4
2Offsides2
12Fouls10
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
3Saves3
368Passes323
296Accurate passes245

Match events

  • 38′Eric Bocat ← Luca Bombino
  • 45′Jack McGlynn ← George Hirst
  • 49′Luke Graham (assist Ethan Galbraith)
  • 52′Lewis Travis → Rhian Brewster
  • 68′Lamine Cissé ← Róbert Boženík
  • 73′Mohammed Fuseini → Henrik Wendel Meister
  • 76′David Ozoh
  • 87′Bobby Clark → Corey Taylor
  • 87′Ryan Hedges → Filip Bilbija
  • 87′Sammie Szmodics → Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
  • 88′Justin Devenny ← Junior Tchamadeu

Derby County · Stoke City

Starting XI · as it played — Ratings are a Pulse estimate

Derby County2-5-3
96.3Morris
266.3↓87'Hedges
246.3Nyambe
316.3Vickers
116.3↓87'Szmodics
236.3Ward
276.3↓52'Travis
286.3Sanderson
166.3↓73'Fuseini
86.3↓87'Clark
46.0Ozoh
Stoke City4-5
17.3Johansson
177.2↓38'Bocat
58.2Graham
167.2Wilmot
27.2Johnson
76.8↓45'McGlynn
87.5Galbraith
116.8↓68'Cissé
136.8↓88'Devenny
276.8Soumaré

Lineups — ratings are a Pulse estimate

Derby County

  • 9Carlton Morris6.3
  • 26Ryan Hedges6.3
  • 24Ryan Nyambe6.3
  • 31Josh Vickers6.3
  • 11Sammie Szmodics6.3
  • 23Joe Ward6.3
  • 27Lewis Travis6.3
  • 28Dion Sanderson6.3
  • 16Mohammed Fuseini6.3
  • 8Bobby Clark6.3
  • 4David Ozoh6.0

Stoke City

  • 2Ben Johnson7.2
  • 16Ben Wilmot7.2
  • 1Viktor Johansson7.3
  • 17Eric Bocat7.2
  • 7Jack McGlynn6.8
  • 8Ethan Galbraith7.5
  • 5Luke Graham8.2
  • 11Lamine Cissé6.8
  • 13Justin Devenny6.8
  • 27Djibril Soumaré6.8
Derby CountyTale of the tapeStoke City
2-5-3Formation—
6 ptsTable19 pts
-11Goal difference+2
LDDLLFormLWWWD
1Head-to-head wins1
25%Win chance51%

Head to head — 2 previous meetings

Derby County 1W0D1W Stoke City

Goals 3–3

  • 2026-04-06Derby County2–0Stoke City
  • 2025-08-09Stoke City3–1Derby County

Seasons searched: 2025-2026, 2026-2027.

Recent form — Last five, before this fixture

Derby County

LDDLL
  • @Queens Park Rangers1-4
  • vsWrexham1-1
  • @Burnley1-1
  • vsBirmingham City1-2
  • vsWest Bromwich Albion0-1

Stoke City

LWWWD
  • vsMiddlesbrough2-3
  • @Bolton Wanderers2-1
  • vsSheffield United2-1
  • @Watford2-1
  • @Cardiff City1-1

This season — other meeting

Where they stand — In a 24-team table

TeamPWDLGDPts
Derby County11137-116
Stoke City11614+219