EFL Championship · Matchday 11

Southampton v Bolton Wanderers

Sat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00:00 UTCSt. Mary's StadiumMatchday 11

Pre-match win probability — Pulse estimate

Southampton 56%Draw 20%Bolton Wanderers 24%

Pulse model at kickoff, scaled by each side's scoring rate in this competition's own table. An estimate, not a betting market.

Match stats

SouthamptonBolton Wanderers
62Possession38
1.91Expected goals (xG)1.24
14Shots14
2Shots on target3
7Shots off target4
5Blocked shots7
11Shots inside box9
3Shots outside box5
5Corners3
10Offsides0
8Fouls9
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
3Saves2
609Passes368
529Accurate passes270

Match events

  • 41′Cyle Larin → Lewis Dobbin
  • 44′Akin Famewo
  • 45′Atsuki Ito ← Rúben Rodrigues
  • 45′Tom Fellows → Kuryu Matsuki
  • 59′Cam Bragg
  • 61′Xavier Simons ← Ethan Erhahon
  • 61′Thierry Gale ← Kyliane Dong
  • 72′Welington Santos → Ryan Manning
  • 73′Cam Bragg → Samuel Edozie
  • 73′Sam Dalby ← Theo Bair
  • 76′Lewis Brunt
  • 83′Theo Bair
  • 85′Kuryu Matsuki
  • 87′Gaizka Larrazabal ← Samuel Iling-Junior
  • 88′Luca Stephenson

Southampton · Bolton Wanderers

Starting XI · as it played — Ratings are a Pulse estimate

Southampton4-4-2
306.5Ward-Prowse
56.9Stephens
146.9Bree
96.5↓41'Larin
136.9Schlotterbeck
106.5Azaz
186.5↓45'Fellows
17.0Peretz
76.5Scienza
346.9↓72'Santos
266.2↓73'Bragg
Bolton Wanderers2-5-3
86.5Sheehan
146.6Famewo
226.5↓87'Larrazabal
176.5↓45'Ito
317.0Bazunu
56.2Brunt
106.5↓73'Dalby
186.9Toal
46.5↓61'Simons
276.2Stephenson
116.5↓61'Gale

Lineups — ratings are a Pulse estimate

Southampton

  • 30James Ward-Prowse6.5
  • 5Jack Stephens6.9
  • 14James Bree6.9
  • 9Cyle Larin6.5
  • 13Keven Schlotterbeck6.9
  • 10Finn Azaz6.5
  • 18Tom Fellows6.5
  • 1Daniel Peretz7.0
  • 7Léo Scienza6.5
  • 34Welington Santos6.9
  • 26Cam Bragg6.2

Bolton Wanderers

  • 8Josh Sheehan6.5
  • 14Akin Famewo6.6
  • 22Gaizka Larrazabal6.5
  • 17Atsuki Ito6.5
  • 31Gavin Bazunu7.0
  • 5Lewis Brunt6.2
  • 10Sam Dalby6.5
  • 18Eoin Toal6.9
  • 4Xavier Simons6.5
  • 27Luca Stephenson6.2
  • 11Thierry Gale6.5
SouthamptonTale of the tapeBolton Wanderers
4-4-2Formation2-5-3
17 ptsTable14 pts
+11Goal difference-3
WWLWWFormWLWWL
56%Win chance24%

Head to head

First meeting

Southampton and Bolton Wanderers have not met in the seasons we hold. Seasons searched: 2025-2026, 2026-2027.

Recent form — Last five, before this fixture

Southampton

WWLWW
  • @Norwich City1-0
  • vsPortsmouth1-0
  • @Wrexham1-2
  • vsBristol City4-1
  • vsSwansea City3-1

Bolton Wanderers

WLWWL
  • @Wolverhampton Wanderers3-1
  • vsStoke City1-2
  • @Norwich City4-3
  • vsCardiff City1-0
  • vsWest Ham United2-3

This season — other meeting

Where they stand — In a 24-team table

TeamPWDLGDPts
Southampton11632+1117
Bolton Wanderers11425-314