Pre-match win probability — Pulse estimate
Larne 43%Draw 25%Tre Fiori 32%
Pulse model at kickoff, scaled by each side's scoring rate in this competition's own table. An estimate, not a betting market.
Match stats
LarneTre Fiori
68Possession32
12Shots7
4Shots on target3
8Shots off target4
0Blocked shots0
5Corners1
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards2
Match events
- 11'Pietro Mengucci (assist Matteo Prandelli)
- 25'Matt Ridley
- 32'Alessandro D'Addario
- 53'Conor McKendry
- 58'Simone Rea
- 58'Conor McKendry → Jordan McEneff
- 59'Matteo Prandelli
- 63'Simone Rea
- 63'Simone Rea
- 69'Dan Bent · penalty
- 80'Matthew Lusty → Paul O'Neill
- 80'Sean Graham → James Simpson
- 83'Pietro Mengucci
Larne · Tre Fiori
Starting XI · as it played — Ratings are a Pulse estimate
16.8Ferguson
36.8Ridley
46.8Donnelly
236.8Cosgrove
66.8Gallagher
116.8↓80'Graham
267.8Bent
306.8↓80'Lusty
76.5↓58'McKendry
176.1Nardi
247.3↓83'Mengucci
54.1Rea
206.3Benedettini
97.1↓59'Prandelli
Lineups — ratings are a Pulse estimate
Larne
- 26Dan Bent7.8
- 1Rohan Ferguson6.8
- 4Aaron Donnelly6.8
- 23Tomas Cosgrove6.8
- 6Christopher Gallagher6.8
- 11Sean Graham6.8
- 7Conor McKendry6.5
- 30Matthew Lusty6.8
- 3Matthew Paul Ridley6.8
Tre Fiori
- 17Michele Nardi6.1
- 5Simone Rea4.1
- 20Federico Benedettini6.3
- 9Matteo Prandelli7.1
- 24Pietro Mengucci7.3
LarneTale of the tapeTre Fiori
2Head-to-head wins0
43%Pre-match odds33%
Head to head — 2 previous meetings
Larne 2W0D0W Tre Fiori
Goals 3–1
- 2026-07-14Larne2–1Tre Fiori
- 2026-07-07Tre Fiori0–1Larne
Seasons searched: 2025-2026, 2026-2027.
This season — other meeting