UEFA Nations League · Matchday 4
Luxembourg v Bulgaria
- Tue, 06 Oct 2026 18:45:00 UTCStade de LuxembourgMatchday 4
Pre-match win probability — Pulse estimate
Luxembourg 39%Draw 34%Bulgaria 27%
Pulse model at kickoff, scaled by each side's scoring rate in this competition's own table. An estimate, not a betting market.
Match stats
LuxembourgBulgaria
59Possession41
6Shots10
1Shots on target5
5Shots off target4
0Blocked shots1
3Shots inside box8
3Shots outside box2
2Corners2
0Offsides1
7Fouls5
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves1
269Passes192
227Accurate passes153
Match events
- 19′Kristiyan Balov (assist Emil Ivanov Tsenov)
- 31′Georgi Rosenov Rusev
- 34′Atanas Petrov Iliev (assist Georgi Rosenov Rusev)
- 41′Stefan Velkov
- 45′Anthony Christian Moris → Tiago Pereira Cardoso
- 45′Jayson Videira Pereira → Aiman Dardari
- 45′Enzo dos Santos → Mathias Olesen
- 50′Georgi Rosenov Rusev ← Petko Panayotov
Luxembourg · Bulgaria
Starting XI · as it played — Ratings are a Pulse estimate
Luxembourg16.1↓45'Moris
46.3Bohnert
56.3Selimović
136.3Carlson
146.3Veiga
66.3Moreira
86.3↓45'Santos
96.3↓45'Pereira
116.3Thill
156.3Natami
176.3Kadamani
Bulgaria136.9Velkov
46.8Gruev
176.8Minchev
97.8Iliev
86.8Kraev
17.3Naumov
67.5Tsenov
117.2↓50'Rusev
157.2Petrov
26.8Stoyanov
187.8Balov
Lineups — ratings are a Pulse estimate
Luxembourg
- 13Dirk Carlson6.3
- 11Vincent Thill6.3
- 1Anthony Christian Moris6.1
- 4Florian Bohnert6.3
- 5Vahid Selimović6.3
- 15Omar Natami6.3
- 14Eric Veiga6.3
- 6Tomás Moreira6.3
- 9Jayson Videira Pereira6.3
- 17Hamza Kadamani6.3
- 8Enzo dos Santos6.3
Bulgaria
- 13Stefan Velkov6.9
- 4Ilia Gruev6.8
- 17Martin Yankov Minchev6.8
- 9Atanas Petrov Iliev7.8
- 8Andrian Boykov Kraev6.8
- 1Daniel Genadiev Naumov7.3
- 6Emil Ivanov Tsenov7.5
- 11Georgi Rosenov Rusev7.2
- 15Hristiyan Petrov7.2
- 2Yoan Stoyanov6.8
- 18Kristiyan Balov7.8
LuxembourgTale of the tapeBulgaria
—Formation2-4-4
LLWWWFormLDLLL
1Head-to-head wins1
39%Win chance27%
Head to head — 3 previous meetings
Luxembourg 1W1D1W Bulgaria
Goals 2–2
- 2026-09-26Bulgaria1–2Luxembourg
- 2024-11-15Luxembourg0–1Bulgaria
- 2024-10-12Bulgaria0–0Luxembourg
Seasons searched: 2024-2025, 2026-2027.
Recent form — Last five, before this fixture
Luxembourg
LLWWW- @Estonia0-1
- vsIceland0-3
- @Bulgaria2-1
- vsMalta3-0
- @Malta2-0
Bulgaria
LDLLL- @Iceland0-3
- vsEstonia0-0
- vsLuxembourg1-2
- @Ireland1-2
- vsIreland1-2
This season — other meeting