UEFA Nations League · Matchday 3
Estonia v Luxembourg
- Sat, 03 Oct 2026 16:00:00 UTCA. Le Coq ArenaMatchday 3
Pre-match win probability — Pulse estimate
Estonia 33%Draw 31%Luxembourg 35%
Pulse model at kickoff, scaled by each side's scoring rate in this competition's own table. An estimate, not a betting market.
Match stats
EstoniaLuxembourg
46Possession54
14Shots8
9Shots on target2
1Shots off target4
4Blocked shots2
10Shots inside box4
4Shots outside box4
7Corners3
4Offsides2
13Fouls12
3Yellow cards6
0Red cards0
2Saves8
446Passes529
394Accurate passes478
Match events
- 5′Rasmus Peetson
- 29′Enes Mahmutovic
- 43′Enes Mahmutovic
- 62′Aiman Dardari ← Hamza Kadamani
- 66′Mattias Männilaan → Karel Mustmaa
- 68′Omar Natami
- 72′Kevor Palumets → Markus Soomets
- 73′Vincent Thill ← Timothé Rupil
- 73′Märten Kuusk
- 78′Vahid Selimović
- 80′Mattias Käit → Mihkel Ainsalu
- 82′Karol Mets
- 83′Florian Bohnert ← Mathias Olesen
- 83′Enes Mahmutovic ← Eldin Džogović
- 84′Leandro Barreiro
- 85′Eldin Džogović
- 87′Mathias Olesen
- 88′Markus Poom
Estonia · Luxembourg
Starting XI · as it played — Ratings are a Pulse estimate
Estonia26.9Kuusk
186.9Mets
68.2Peetson
37.2Paskotši
106.8↓72'Palumets
127.3Igonen
176.8↓66'Männilaan
197.2Schjønning-Larsen
146.8Kristal
206.5Poom
46.8↓80'Käit
Luxembourg16.3Moris
35.7↓83'Mahmutovic
46.3↓83'Bohnert
56.0Selimović
136.3Carlson
66.3Moreira
96.3Pereira
116.3↓73'Thill
156.0Natami
76.3↓62'Dardari
Lineups — ratings are a Pulse estimate
Estonia
- 2Märten Kuusk6.9
- 18Karol Mets6.9
- 6Rasmus Peetson8.2
- 3Maksim Paskotši7.2
- 10Kevor Palumets6.8
- 12Matvei Igonen7.3
- 17Mattias Männilaan6.8
- 19Michael Schjønning-Larsen7.2
- 14Patrik Kristal6.8
- 20Markus Poom6.5
- 4Mattias Käit6.8
Luxembourg
- 3Enes Mahmutovic5.7
- 13Dirk Carlson6.3
- 11Vincent Thill6.3
- 1Anthony Christian Moris6.3
- 4Florian Bohnert6.3
- 5Vahid Selimović6.0
- 15Omar Natami6.0
- 6Tomás Moreira6.3
- 7Aiman Dardari6.3
- 9Jayson Videira Pereira6.3
EstoniaTale of the tapeLuxembourg
5-3-2Formation—
DDLDLFormLWWWD
33%Win chance35%
Head to head
First meeting
Estonia and Luxembourg have not met in the seasons we hold. Seasons searched: 2024-2025, 2026-2027.
Recent form — Last five, before this fixture
Estonia
DDLDL- @Bulgaria0-0
- @Iceland1-1
- @Slovakia0-1
- @Azerbaijan0-0
- vsSweden0-3
Luxembourg
LWWWD- vsIceland0-3
- @Bulgaria2-1
- vsMalta3-0
- @Malta2-0
- vsN.Ireland2-2
This season — other meeting