UEFA Nations League · Matchday 4
Estonia v Iceland
Pre-match win probability — Pulse estimate
Estonia 16%Draw 20%Iceland 65%
Pulse model at kickoff, scaled by each side's scoring rate in this competition's own table. An estimate, not a betting market.
Match stats
EstoniaIceland
38Possession62
11Shots9
3Shots on target0
7Shots off target5
1Blocked shots4
6Shots inside box7
5Shots outside box2
3Corners3
1Offsides0
7Fouls7
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves3
240Passes384
184Accurate passes325
Match events
- 25′D. L. Gretarsson
- 61′Joseph Saliste → Michael Schjønning-Larsen
- 61′Mattias Männilaan → Karel Mustmaa
- 61′Kevor Palumets → Mattias Käit
Estonia · Iceland
Starting XI · as it played — Ratings are a Pulse estimate
Estonia26.9Kuusk
66.9Peetson
136.9↓61'Saliste
76.5Saarma
36.9Paskotši
106.5↓61'Palumets
127.0Igonen
56.9Tõugjas
176.5↓61'Männilaan
146.5Kristal
206.5Poom
Iceland106.5Sigurðsson
236.9Magnússon
46.5Pálsson
186.5Anderson
86.5Jóhannesson
226.5Guðjohnsen
36.6Gretarsson
76.5Haraldsson
96.5Óskarsson
166.5Þórðarson
127.0Valdimarsson
Lineups — ratings are a Pulse estimate
Estonia
- 2Märten Kuusk6.9
- 6Rasmus Peetson6.9
- 13Joseph Saliste6.9
- 7Robi Saarma6.5
- 3Maksim Paskotši6.9
- 10Kevor Palumets6.5
- 12Matvei Igonen7.0
- 5Erko Tõugjas6.9
- 17Mattias Männilaan6.5
- 14Patrik Kristal6.5
- 20Markus Poom6.5
Iceland
- 10Gylfi Sigurðsson6.5
- 23Hörður Magnússon6.9
- 4Victor Pálsson6.5
- 18Mikael Anderson6.5
- 8Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson6.5
- 22Andri Guðjohnsen6.5
- 3D. L. Gretarsson6.6
- 7Hákon Arnar Haraldsson6.5
- 9Orri Óskarsson6.5
- 16Stefán Þórðarson6.5
- 12Hákon Valdimarsson7.0
EstoniaTale of the tapeIceland
5-2-3Formation2-5-3
WDDLDFormWWDLL
0Head-to-head wins0
16%Win chance65%
Head to head — 1 previous meeting
Estonia 0W1D0W Iceland
Goals 1–1
- 2026-09-26Iceland1–1Estonia
Seasons searched: 2024-2025, 2026-2027.
Recent form — Last five, before this fixture
Estonia
WDDLD- vsLuxembourg1-0
- @Bulgaria0-0
- @Iceland1-1
- @Slovakia0-1
- @Azerbaijan0-0
Iceland
WWDLL- vsBulgaria3-0
- @Luxembourg3-0
- vsEstonia1-1
- vsKosovo1-3
- @Kosovo1-2
This season — other meeting