Croatia v Spain — UEFA Nations League

Pre-match win probability — Pulse estimate

Croatia 21%Draw 20%Spain 59%

Pulse model at kickoff, scaled by each side's scoring rate in this competition's own table. An estimate, not a betting market.

Match stats

CroatiaSpain

28Possession72

10Shots10

5Shots on target3

3Shots off target3

2Blocked shots4

9Shots inside box7

1Shots outside box3

3Corners6

0Offsides2

12Fouls10

1Yellow cards2

1Red cards0

1Saves4

298Passes778

234Accurate passes697

Match events

17′Ivan Perišić
22′Ivan Perišić
45′Álex Baena ← Mikel Merino
61′Mikel Merino (assist Dani Olmo)
65′Luka Modrić
65′Igor Matanović → Dion Beljo
66′Luka Modrić → Petar Sučić
66′Rodri
71′Rodri ← Martín Zubimendi
71′Dani Olmo ← Fermín
71′Nikola Vlašić → Martin Baturina
78′Lamine Yamal ← Víctor Muñoz
79′Ivan Perišić
87′Pedri ← Yéremy Pino
88′Mateo Kovačić → Mario Pašalić
88′Mikel Merino (assist Martín Zubimendi)
90′Víctor Muñoz

Croatia · Spain

Starting XI · as it played — Ratings are a Pulse estimate

Croatia4-5-1

106.0↓66'Modrić

86.3↓88'Kovačić

145.5Perišić

136.3↓71'Vlašić

16.1Livaković

46.3Gvardiol

206.3↓65'Matanović

186.3Jakić

26.3Stanišić

66.3Šutalo

56.3Vušković

Spain4-4-2

146.8Laporte

216.8Oyarzabal

166.5↓71'Rodri

107.5↓71'Olmo

236.8Simón

226.8Cucurella

206.8↓87'Pedri

156.8↓45'Baena

126.8Pubill

196.8↓78'Yamal

56.8Cubarsí

Lineups — ratings are a Pulse estimate

Croatia

10Luka Modrić6.0
8Mateo Kovačić6.3
14Ivan Perišić5.5
13Nikola Vlašić6.3
1Dominik Livaković6.1
4Joško Gvardiol6.3
20Igor Matanović6.3
18Kristijan Jakić6.3
2Josip Stanišić6.3
6Josip Šutalo6.3
5Luka Vušković6.3

Spain

14Aymeric Laporte6.8
21Mikel Oyarzabal6.8
16Rodri6.5
10Dani Olmo7.5
23Unai Simón6.8
22Marc Cucurella6.8
20Pedri6.8
15Álex Baena6.8
12Marc Pubill6.8
19Lamine Yamal6.8
5Pau Cubarsí6.8

CroatiaTale of the tapeSpain

4-5-1Formation4-4-2

LLWLWFormWWWDW

0Head-to-head wins1

21%Win chance59%

Head to head — 1 previous meeting

Croatia 0W0D1W Spain

Goals 1–4

2026-09-29Spain4–1Croatia

Seasons searched: 2024-2025, 2026-2027.

Recent form — Last five, before this fixture

Croatia

LLWLW

vsEngland0-7
@Spain1-4
@Czech Republic2-1
@France0-2
vsFrance2-0

Spain

WWWDW

vsCzech Republic3-1
vsCroatia4-1
@England3-2
@Portugal2-2
vsFrance5-4

This season — other meeting

Spain4–1Croatia

Related coverage — from the newsroom