France v Belgium — UEFA Nations League

Pre-match win probability — Pulse estimate

France 28%Draw 24%Belgium 48%

Pulse model at kickoff, scaled by each side's scoring rate in this competition's own table. An estimate, not a betting market.

Match stats

FranceBelgium

66Possession34

23Shots5

8Shots on target2

6Shots off target3

9Blocked shots0

14Shots inside box3

9Shots outside box2

9Corners2

0Offsides1

4Fouls8

1Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

1Saves5

691Passes363

624Accurate passes287

Match events

35′Dodi Lukébakio (assist Roméo Lavia)
57′Roméo Lavia
60′Ousmane Dembélé → Michael Olise
60′Maghnes Akliouche → Rayan Cherki
61′Manu Koné → Lucas Da Cunha
69′Maxence Lacroix
70′Dodi Lukébakio ← Mika Godts
70′Romelu Lukaku ← Charles De Ketelaere
72′Bradley Barcola → Désiré Doué
73′Bradley Barcola
75′Joaquin Seys
77′Désiré Doué (assist Lucas Da Cunha)
81′Rayan Cherki (assist Michael Olise)
87′Roméo Lavia ← Mandela Keita
87′Diego Moreira ← Loïs Openda
87′Hans Vanaken ← Leandro Trossard
88′Eduardo Camavinga → Adrien Rabiot
88′Michael Olise (assist Désiré Doué)
90′Michael Olise (assist Désiré Doué)

France · Belgium

Starting XI · as it played — Ratings are a Pulse estimate

France3-3-4

76.8↓60'Dembélé

56.8Koundé

66.8↓88'Camavinga

176.5Lacroix

86.8↓61'Koné

186.8↓60'Akliouche

136.8Diouf

126.5↓72'Barcola

156.8Yoro

16.8Restes

196.8Lepaul

Belgium4-4-2

96.3↓70'Lukaku

46.3Mechele

206.3↓87'Vanaken

216.3Castagne

147.3↓70'Lukébakio

236.3Raskin

125.7Vandevoordt

66.8↓87'Lavia

156.3Ngoy

196.3↓87'Moreira

186.0Seys

Lineups — ratings are a Pulse estimate

France

7Ousmane Dembélé6.8
5Jules Koundé6.8
6Eduardo Camavinga6.8
17Maxence Lacroix6.5
8Manu Koné6.8
18Maghnes Akliouche6.8
13Andy Diouf6.8
12Bradley Barcola6.5
15Leny Yoro6.8
1Guillaume Restes6.8
19Esteban Lepaul6.8

Belgium

9Romelu Lukaku6.3
4Brandon Mechele6.3
20Hans Vanaken6.3
21Timothy Castagne6.3
14Dodi Lukébakio7.3
23Nicolas Raskin6.3
12Maarten Vandevoordt5.7
6Roméo Lavia6.8
15Nathan Ngoy6.3
19Diego Moreira6.3
18Joaquin Seys6.0

FranceTale of the tapeBelgium

3-3-4Formation4-4-2

DWWWLFormWLWWL

3Head-to-head wins0

28%Win chance48%

Head to head — 3 previous meetings

France 3W0D0W Belgium

Goals 5–1

2026-09-28Belgium0–1France
2024-10-14Belgium1–2France
2024-09-09France2–0Belgium

Seasons searched: 2024-2025, 2026-2027.

Recent form — Last five, before this fixture

France

DWWWL

vsItaly1-1
@Belgium1-0
@Turkey1-0
@Germany2-0
@Spain4-5

Belgium

WLWWL

vsTurkey3-0
vsFrance0-1
@Italy2-0
vsUkraine3-0
@Ukraine1-3

This season — other meeting

Belgium0–1France

Related coverage — from the newsroom