Spain v Croatia — UEFA Nations League

Pre-match win probability — Pulse estimate

Spain 47%Draw 19%Croatia 33%

Pulse model at kickoff, scaled by each side's scoring rate in this competition's own table. An estimate, not a betting market.

Match stats

SpainCroatia

64Possession36

16Shots5

7Shots on target2

6Shots off target1

3Blocked shots2

12Shots inside box4

4Shots outside box1

6Corners2

5Offsides0

9Fouls10

1Yellow cards4

0Red cards0

1Saves3

620Passes345

568Accurate passes296

Match events

2′Lamine Yamal (assist Álex Baena)
18′Marin Pongračić
28′Dion Beljo (assist Ivan Perišić)
31′Marc Pubill (assist Lamine Yamal)
37′Petar Sučić
45′Marin Pongračić ← Luka Vušković
49′Álex Baena
54′Marco Pašalić
57′Fermín → Mikel Merino
57′Fabián Ruiz → Pedri
58′Josip Mišić
60′Dion Beljo ← Ante Budimir
60′Mateo Kovačić ← Mario Pašalić
63′Lamine Yamal (assist Pedri)
68′Álex Baena → Nico Williams
68′Lamine Yamal → Víctor Muñoz
72′Ivan Perišić ← Franjo Ivanović
72′Martín Zubimendi → Rodri
81′Petar Sučić ← Luka Modrić
89′Nico Williams (assist Mikel Merino)

Spain · Croatia

Starting XI · as it played — Ratings are a Pulse estimate

Spain4-4-2

216.8Oyarzabal

86.8↓57'Ruiz

236.8Simón

226.8Cucurella

186.8↓72'Zubimendi

157.2↓68'Baena

127.8Pubill

199.7↓68'Yamal

96.8↓57'Fermín

56.8Cubarsí

26.8Huijsen

Croatia4-4-2

86.3↓60'Kovačić

147.1↓72'Perišić

36.0↓45'Pongračić

15.7Livaković

46.3Gvardiol

226.0Mišić

66.3Šutalo

207.3↓60'Beljo

176.0↓81'Sučić

26.3Smolčić

196.0Pašalić

Lineups — ratings are a Pulse estimate

Spain

21Mikel Oyarzabal6.8
8Fabián Ruiz6.8
23Unai Simón6.8
22Marc Cucurella6.8
18Martín Zubimendi6.8
15Álex Baena7.2
12Marc Pubill7.8
19Lamine Yamal9.7
9Fermín6.8
5Pau Cubarsí6.8
2Dean Huijsen6.8

Croatia

8Mateo Kovačić6.3
14Ivan Perišić7.1
3Marin Pongračić6.0
1Dominik Livaković5.7
4Joško Gvardiol6.3
22Josip Mišić6.0
6Josip Šutalo6.3
20Dion Beljo7.3
17Petar Sučić6.0
2Ivan Smolčić6.3
19Marco Pašalić6.0

SpainTale of the tapeCroatia

4-4-2Formation4-4-2

WDWDDFormWLWDL

47%Win chance33%

Head to head

First meeting

Spain and Croatia have not met in the seasons we hold. Seasons searched: 2024-2025, 2026-2027.

Recent form — Last five, before this fixture

Spain

WDWDD

@England3-2
@Portugal2-2
vsFrance5-4
vsNetherlands3-3
@Netherlands2-2

Croatia

WLWDL

@Czech Republic2-1
@France0-2
vsFrance2-0
vsPortugal1-1
@Scotland0-1

This season — other meeting

Croatia1–2Spain

Related coverage — from the newsroom